MLB
Jackson Holliday
#BCP-1 - Baltimore Orioles
2024 Bowman Chrome Baseball (2024)
Gold Refractor /50Cards Remaining
Good availability
50
Total Print Run
1
Documented
49
Still Available
1 seen (2.0%)49 remaining (98.0%)
1 of 50 copies have been documented.
49 copies could still be pulled from packs!
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced
Model A: Deterministic
Print Run50
Verified Sightings1
Publicly Remaining49
Model B: Bayesian
Visibility Factor (f)27%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining37.1
Confidence Score
Low (17/100)
Coverage: 2 | Sources: 10 | Maturity: 5
$241.79
Avg Sale Price
$4.00 - $1249.99
Price Range
22
Recent Sales
| Title | Price | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Power-Up #PP5 Jackson Holliday | $4.00 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospects Jackson Holliday Gold Mojo Refractor /50 BCP-47 OA5 | $49.98 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| 2024 Bowman Chrome Jackson Holliday Gold Refractor /50 PSA 9 Mint Orioles | $79.98 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| 2024 Bowman Chrome - Jackson Holliday #26 Gold Refractor /50 (RC) | $77.50 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| 2024 Jackson Holliday Bowman Chrome Ascensions Gold Refractor /50 RC 《PSA 9》📦🔥 | $84.99 | 3/15/2026 | View |
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,513 (83.7%)
BGS: 295 (16.3%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant
PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
1,513
Total Graded
272
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
574
PSA 9 (Mint)
18.0%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
272
18.0%
PSA 9
574
37.9%
PSA 8.5
121
8.0%
PSA 8
181
12.0%
PSA 7
151
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
93
6.1%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
295
Total Graded
1
BGS 10 (Black Label)
98
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
33.2%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
1
0.3%
BGS 10(Pristine)
7
2.4%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
98
33.2%
BGS 9(Mint)
111
37.6%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
44
14.9%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
29
9.8%
BGS 7.5-
5
1.7%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$1,424
$1068-$2136
BGS 10
$712
$534-$890
BGS 9.5
$356
$267-$445
BGS 9
$214
$178-$267
BGS 8.5
$160
$125-$196
BGS 8
$125
$89-$160
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
334
Total Graded
52
SGC 10 (Pristine)
75
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
16%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
52(15.6%)
SGC 9.5
75(22.5%)
SGC 9
133(39.8%)
SGC 8.5
37(11.1%)
SGC 8
34(10.2%)
SGC 7-
3(0.9%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$193
$152 - $242
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$124
$97 - $152
SGC 9 (Mint)
$97
$76 - $117
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$76
$62 - $90
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$62
$48 - $76
SGC 7 (NM)
$48
$35 - $62
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$296
Expected Value
$85 - $363
Value Range
+$121
Potential Gain
-$157
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$368
Expected Value
+$71
Expected Profit
+24%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Recommended
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$846
+$549
PSA 9
35%
$435
+$138
PSA 8
35%
$314
+$17
PSA 7
18%
$266
$-31
PSA 6
7%
$230
$-67
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better
Positive expected ROI of 24%. Grading is likely to add value, especially if the card achieves a 10 or better.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.
| Image | Serial | Source | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #9/50 | YOUTUBE | 1/26/2026 | View |