MLB
Ethan Salas
#BCP-5 - San Diego Padres
2024 Bowman Chrome Baseball (2024)
1st Bowman Chrome Auto /99Model A: Deterministic
Print Run99
Verified Sightings4
Publicly Remaining95
Model B: Bayesian
Visibility Factor (f)27%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining72.6
Confidence Score
Low (39/100)
Coverage: 4 | Sources: 30 | Maturity: 5
$246.21
Avg Sale Price
$195.35 - $307.05
Price Range
5
Recent Sales
Price History (Last 60 Days)
- Average
- Sale Price
| Title | Price | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 2024 Bowman Chrome Baseball Ethan Salas 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #/50 | $230.44 | 1/15/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Bowman Chrome Baseball Ethan Salas 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #/50 | $208.99 | 1/11/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Bowman Chrome Baseball Ethan Salas 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #/50 | $289.22 | 1/3/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Bowman Chrome Baseball Ethan Salas 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #/50 | $195.35 | 1/1/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Bowman Chrome Baseball Ethan Salas 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #/50 | $307.05 | 12/17/2025 | View |
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 516 (61.2%)
BGS: 327 (38.8%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant
PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
516
Total Graded
108
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
185
PSA 9 (Mint)
20.9%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
108
20.9%
PSA 9
185
35.9%
PSA 8.5
41
7.9%
PSA 8
61
11.8%
PSA 7
51
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
29
5.6%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
327
Total Graded
2
BGS 10 (Black Label)
106
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
32.4%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
2
0.6%
BGS 10(Pristine)
6
1.8%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
106
32.4%
BGS 9(Mint)
120
36.7%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
52
15.9%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
36
11.0%
BGS 7.5-
5
1.5%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$1,512
$1134-$2268
BGS 10
$756
$567-$945
BGS 9.5
$378
$284-$473
BGS 9
$227
$189-$284
BGS 8.5
$170
$132-$208
BGS 8
$132
$95-$170
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
331
Total Graded
44
SGC 10 (Pristine)
88
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
13%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
44(13.3%)
SGC 9.5
88(26.6%)
SGC 9
113(34.1%)
SGC 8.5
49(14.8%)
SGC 8
34(10.3%)
SGC 7-
3(0.9%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$230
$180 - $287
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$148
$115 - $180
SGC 9 (Mint)
$115
$90 - $139
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$90
$74 - $107
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$74
$57 - $90
SGC 7 (NM)
$57
$41 - $74
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$302
Expected Value
$86 - $369
Value Range
+$123
Potential Gain
-$160
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$375
Expected Value
+$74
Expected Profit
+24%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Recommended
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$862
+$561
PSA 9
35%
$443
+$142
PSA 8
35%
$320
+$19
PSA 7
18%
$271
$-30
PSA 6
7%
$234
$-67
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better
Positive expected ROI of 24%. Grading is likely to add value, especially if the card achieves a 10 or better.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.