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Charizard card

Charizard

#4 - Fire

1999 Pokemon Base Set 1st Edition (1999)

Shadowless Holo PSA 10

Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

1
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings1
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (13/100)
Coverage: 2 | Sources: 10 | Maturity: 1

Market Sales Data

LIVE
$349374.87
Avg Sale Price
$0.00 - $3500000.00
Price Range
24
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
0.0%
2 sales tracked
May 9May 10$-10$-5$0$5$10
$0
Low
$349375
Average
$0
High
0
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
🔥Pokémon PSA 10 Mini Slab Holo-Keychains🔥$14.995/5/2026View
⚡️SLABBIES⚡️💎PREMIUM💎 ✨Pokémon PSA 10 Keychains✨ (Mini) 🔥THE ORIGINAL🔥$16.995/5/2026View
⚡️SLABROS⚡️ 💎PREMIUM💎 ✨Pokémon PSA 10 Keychains✨ (Large) 🔥THE ORIGINAL🔥$17.995/5/2026View
1999 Pokémon 1st Edition Shadowless Base Set Super Potion 90/102 PSA 10 LOW POP$999.995/5/2026View
PSA 10 Bulbasaur Shadowless 44/102 - 1999 Base Set Pokemon Card Game $1002.665/5/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 502 (66%)
BGS: 259 (34%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
502
Total Graded
85
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
210
PSA 9 (Mint)
16.9%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
85
16.9%
PSA 9
210
41.8%
PSA 8.5
40
8.0%
PSA 8
60
12.0%
PSA 7
50
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
17
3.4%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
259
Total Graded
1
BGS 10 (Black Label)
72
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
27.8%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
1
0.4%
BGS 10(Pristine)
7
2.7%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
72
27.8%
BGS 9(Mint)
106
40.9%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
34
13.1%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
34
13.1%
BGS 7.5-
5
1.9%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$632
$474-$948
BGS 10
$316
$237-$395
BGS 9.5
$158
$119-$198
BGS 9
$95
$79-$119
BGS 8.5
$71
$55-$87
BGS 8
$55
$40-$71

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
222
Total Graded
41
SGC 10 (Pristine)
46
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
18%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
41(18.5%)
SGC 9.5
46(20.7%)
SGC 9
80(36%)
SGC 8.5
31(14%)
SGC 8
21(9.5%)
SGC 7-
3(1.4%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$230
$180 - $287
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$148
$115 - $180
SGC 9 (Mint)
$115
$90 - $139
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$90
$74 - $107
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$74
$57 - $90
SGC 7 (NM)
$57
$41 - $74

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$427984
Expected Value
$122281 - $524062
Value Range
+$174687
Potential Gain
-$227094
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$3544
Total Cost
$612515
Expected Value
+$259596
Expected Profit
+74%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Highly Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$3494
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$1406234
+$1053315
PSA 9
35%
$723206
+$370287
PSA 8
35%
$522315
+$169396
PSA 7
18%
$441959
+$89040
PSA 6
7%
$381692
+$28773
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Strong ROI potential of 74%. This card is an excellent grading candidate with 5% chance of achieving a 10.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

ImageSerialSourceDateLink
—OTHER2/15/2026View

SlabdeX Predictions

Will the Charizard 1st Edition Shadowless PSA 10 break $1M by 2027?

0 voters0 PP wagered
50%
YES
50%
NO

Community Sentiment

How community odds have shifted over time for active predictions on this card.

Will the Charizard 1st Edition Shadowless PSA 10 break $1M by 2027?

Sentiment data will appear as votes come in