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MLB

Dylan Crews

#BCP-15 - Washington Nationals

2024 Bowman Chrome Baseball (2024)

1st Bowman Chrome Auto /99

Model A: Deterministic

Print Run99
Verified Sightings1
Publicly Remaining98

Model B: Bayesian

Visibility Factor (f)27%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining73.0

Confidence Score

Low (16/100)
Coverage: 1 | Sources: 10 | Maturity: 5

Market Sales Data

$233.66
Avg Sale Price
$177.07 - $319.06
Price Range
12
Recent Sales

Price History (Last 60 Days)

Nov 29Dec 5Dec 11Dec 13Dec 23Dec 25Dec 25Jan 8Jan 9Jan 12Jan 15Jan 18$160$200$240$280$320
  • Average
  • Sale Price
TitlePriceDateLink
2024 2024 Bowman Chrome Baseball Dylan Crews 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #/50$236.631/18/2026View
2024 2024 Bowman Chrome Baseball Dylan Crews 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #/50$192.101/15/2026View
2024 2024 Bowman Chrome Baseball Dylan Crews 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #/50$281.581/12/2026View
2024 2024 Bowman Chrome Baseball Dylan Crews 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #/50$199.471/9/2026View
2024 2024 Bowman Chrome Baseball Dylan Crews 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #/50$218.251/8/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 516 (62%)
BGS: 316 (38%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
516
Total Graded
108
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
211
PSA 9 (Mint)
20.9%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
108
20.9%
PSA 9
211
40.9%
PSA 8.5
41
7.9%
PSA 8
61
11.8%
PSA 7
51
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
3
0.6%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
316
Total Graded
1
BGS 10 (Black Label)
73
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
23.1%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
1
0.3%
BGS 10(Pristine)
13
4.1%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
73
23.1%
BGS 9(Mint)
139
44.0%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
48
15.2%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
37
11.7%
BGS 7.5-
5
1.6%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$488
$366-$732
BGS 10
$244
$183-$305
BGS 9.5
$122
$92-$153
BGS 9
$73
$61-$92
BGS 8.5
$55
$43-$67
BGS 8
$43
$31-$55

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
359
Total Graded
49
SGC 10 (Pristine)
85
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
14%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
49(13.6%)
SGC 9.5
85(23.7%)
SGC 9
143(39.8%)
SGC 8.5
44(12.3%)
SGC 8
35(9.7%)
SGC 7-
3(0.8%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$302
$238 - $378
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$194
$151 - $238
SGC 9 (Mint)
$151
$119 - $184
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$119
$97 - $140
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$97
$76 - $119
SGC 7 (NM)
$76
$54 - $97

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$286
Expected Value
$82 - $350
Value Range
+$117
Potential Gain
-$152
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$356
Expected Value
+$67
Expected Profit
+23%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$818
+$529
PSA 9
35%
$421
+$132
PSA 8
35%
$304
+$15
PSA 7
18%
$257
$-32
PSA 6
7%
$222
$-67
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Positive expected ROI of 23%. Grading is likely to add value, especially if the card achieves a 10 or better.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

ImageSerialSourceDateLink
#42/99EBAY1/26/2026View