MLB
Paul Skenes
#BCP-20 - Pittsburgh Pirates
2024 Bowman Chrome Baseball (2024)
Gold Refractor /50Cards Remaining
Good availability
50
Total Print Run
7
Documented
43
Still Available
7 seen (14.0%)43 remaining (86.0%)
7 of 50 copies have been documented.
43 copies could still be pulled from packs!
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced
Model A: Deterministic
Print Run50
Verified Sightings7
Publicly Remaining43
Model B: Bayesian
Visibility Factor (f)27%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining35.1
Confidence Score
Medium (49/100)
Coverage: 14 | Sources: 30 | Maturity: 5
$1169.69
Avg Sale Price
$0.00 - $5800.00
Price Range
16
Recent Sales
eBay Price History
Last 60 days of sales data0.0%
1 sales tracked$0
Low
$1170
Average
$0
High
0
Change
| Title | Price | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Skenes RARE REFRACTOR GOLD TOPPS INVESTMENT CARD CY YOUNG PIRATES MINT | $29.76 | 5/5/2026 | View |
| 2024 Bowman Chrome Gold Refractor Paul Skenes RC Rookie ON CARD AUTO 40/50 PSA 9 | $0.00 | 5/12/2026 | View |
| 2024 Topps NSCC - Bowman Chrome Prospects Paul Skenes #TP-4 Gold Refractor /50 | $195.95 | 5/5/2026 | View |
| 2024 Bowman Chrome Mega Box #31 Paul Skenes Gold Refractor PSA 9 #/50 Rookie RC | $499.99 | 5/5/2026 | View |
| 2024 Bowman Chrome RC True GOLD Rookie Refractor PAUL SKENES /50 | $850.00 | 5/5/2026 | View |
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,513 (81.3%)
BGS: 349 (18.7%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant
PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
1,513
Total Graded
272
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
726
PSA 9 (Mint)
18.0%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
272
18.0%
PSA 9
726
48.0%
PSA 8.5
121
8.0%
PSA 8
181
12.0%
PSA 7
151
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
-59
-3.9%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
349
Total Graded
2
BGS 10 (Black Label)
81
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
23.2%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
2
0.6%
BGS 10(Pristine)
12
3.4%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
81
23.2%
BGS 9(Mint)
149
42.7%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
56
16.0%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
44
12.6%
BGS 7.5-
5
1.4%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$576
$432-$864
BGS 10
$288
$216-$360
BGS 9.5
$144
$108-$180
BGS 9
$86
$72-$108
BGS 8.5
$65
$50-$79
BGS 8
$50
$36-$65
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
332
Total Graded
41
SGC 10 (Pristine)
68
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
12%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
41(12.3%)
SGC 9.5
68(20.5%)
SGC 9
123(37%)
SGC 8.5
41(12.3%)
SGC 8
35(10.5%)
SGC 7-
24(7.2%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$339
$266 - $424
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$218
$169 - $266
SGC 9 (Mint)
$169
$133 - $206
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$133
$109 - $157
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$109
$85 - $133
SGC 7 (NM)
$85
$61 - $109
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$1433
Expected Value
$409 - $1755
Value Range
+$585
Potential Gain
-$760
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$62
Total Cost
$1783
Expected Value
+$551
Expected Profit
+45%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Recommended
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$12
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$4094
+$2862
PSA 9
35%
$2105
+$873
PSA 8
35%
$1521
+$289
PSA 7
18%
$1287
+$55
PSA 6
7%
$1111
$-121
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better
Positive expected ROI of 45%. Grading is likely to add value, especially if the card achieves a 10 or better.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.