Nathan MacKinnon
#29 - Colorado Avalanche
2024-25 Upper Deck Allure Hockey (2025)
BaseUnnumbered Card
Print run unknown
0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced
Model A: Deterministic
Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A
Model B: Bayesian
Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.
Confidence Score
Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 517 (34.6%)
BGS: 977 (65.4%)
Market Preference:BGS Dominant
BGS is the preferred grading service for this card. BGS 9.5s may command premium prices.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
517
Total Graded
113
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
242
PSA 9 (Mint)
21.9%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
113
21.9%
PSA 9
242
46.8%
PSA 8.5
41
7.9%
PSA 8
62
12.0%
PSA 7
51
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
-33
-6.4%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
977
Total Graded
6
BGS 10 (Black Label)
222
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
22.7%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
6
0.6%
BGS 10(Pristine)
20
2.0%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
222
22.7%
BGS 9(Mint)
358
36.6%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
134
13.7%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
99
10.1%
BGS 7.5-
138
14.1%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$1,432
$1074-$2148
BGS 10
$716
$537-$895
BGS 9.5
$358
$269-$448
BGS 9
$215
$179-$269
BGS 8.5
$161
$125-$197
BGS 8
$125
$90-$161
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
739
Total Graded
97
SGC 10 (Pristine)
166
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
13%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
97(13.1%)
SGC 9.5
166(22.5%)
SGC 9
282(38.2%)
SGC 8.5
92(12.4%)
SGC 8
74(10%)
SGC 7-
28(3.8%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$230
$180 - $287
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$148
$115 - $180
SGC 9 (Mint)
$115
$90 - $139
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$90
$74 - $107
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$74
$57 - $90
SGC 7 (NM)
$57
$41 - $74
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$1
Expected Value
$0 - $1
Value Range
+$0
Potential Gain
-$1
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
Calculating ROI...
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.