David Pastrnak
#10 - Boston Bruins
2024-25 Upper Deck Allure Hockey (2025)
BaseUnnumbered Card
Print run unknown
0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced
Model A: Deterministic
Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A
Model B: Bayesian
Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.
Confidence Score
Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
PSA: 1,517 (85.9%)
BGS: 249 (14.1%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant
PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
1,517
Total Graded
333
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
637
PSA 9 (Mint)
22.0%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
333
22.0%
PSA 9
637
42.0%
PSA 8.5
121
8.0%
PSA 8
182
12.0%
PSA 7
151
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
-28
-1.8%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
249
Total Graded
1
BGS 10 (Black Label)
71
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
28.5%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
1
0.4%
BGS 10(Pristine)
6
2.4%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
71
28.5%
BGS 9(Mint)
105
42.2%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
33
13.3%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
28
11.2%
BGS 7.5-
5
2.0%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$848
$636-$1272
BGS 10
$424
$318-$530
BGS 9.5
$212
$159-$265
BGS 9
$127
$106-$159
BGS 8.5
$95
$74-$117
BGS 8
$74
$53-$95
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
247
Total Graded
31
SGC 10 (Pristine)
49
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
13%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
31(12.6%)
SGC 9.5
49(19.8%)
SGC 9
106(42.9%)
SGC 8.5
31(12.6%)
SGC 8
27(10.9%)
SGC 7-
3(1.2%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$484
$381 - $606
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$311
$242 - $381
SGC 9 (Mint)
$242
$190 - $294
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$190
$156 - $225
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$156
$121 - $190
SGC 7 (NM)
$121
$87 - $156
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$1
Expected Value
$0 - $1
Value Range
+$0
Potential Gain
-$1
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
Calculating ROI...
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.