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Alex Ovechkin card

Alex Ovechkin

#7 - Washington Capitals

2024-25 Upper Deck Black Diamond Hockey (2025)

Base

Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$34.90
Avg Sale Price
$0.00 - $189.00
Price Range
15
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
0.0%
2 sales tracked
May 10May 10$-10$-5$0$5$10
$0
Low
$35
Average
$0
High
0
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2024-25 Upper Deck Black Diamond Stars #BDS-AO Alex Ovechkin /249$15.005/5/2026View
2024-25 Upper Deck Black Diamond - Alex Ovechkin #BDB-AO /349 Capitals$14.995/5/2026View
2024-25 black diamond stars alex ovechkin 35/249$10.005/5/2026View
2024-25 Upper Deck Black Diamond - Diamond Stars Alex Ovechkin #BDS-AO /249$20.995/5/2026View
2024-25 Upper Deck Black Diamond Stars 48/249 Alex Ovechkin #BDS-AO 12mg$23.835/5/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,533 (73.2%)
BGS: 562 (26.8%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
1,533
Total Graded
275
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
659
PSA 9 (Mint)
17.9%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
275
17.9%
PSA 9
659
43.0%
PSA 8.5
122
8.0%
PSA 8
183
11.9%
PSA 7
153
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
19
1.2%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
562
Total Graded
2
BGS 10 (Black Label)
124
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
22.1%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
2
0.4%
BGS 10(Pristine)
13
2.3%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
124
22.1%
BGS 9(Mint)
198
35.2%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
69
12.3%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
68
12.1%
BGS 7.5-
88
15.7%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$1,472
$1104-$2208
BGS 10
$736
$552-$920
BGS 9.5
$368
$276-$460
BGS 9
$221
$184-$276
BGS 8.5
$166
$129-$202
BGS 8
$129
$92-$166

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
750
Total Graded
103
SGC 10 (Pristine)
172
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
14%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
103(13.7%)
SGC 9.5
172(22.9%)
SGC 9
294(39.2%)
SGC 8.5
98(13.1%)
SGC 8
80(10.7%)
SGC 7-
3(0.4%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$412
$323 - $515
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$265
$206 - $323
SGC 9 (Mint)
$206
$162 - $250
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$162
$132 - $191
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$132
$103 - $162
SGC 7 (NM)
$103
$74 - $132

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$43
Expected Value
$12 - $52
Value Range
+$17
Potential Gain
-$23
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$53
Expected Value
$-37
Expected Profit
-41%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$122
+$32
PSA 9
35%
$63
$-27
PSA 8
35%
$45
$-45
PSA 7
18%
$38
$-52
PSA 6
7%
$33
$-57
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Negative expected ROI of -41%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

SlabdeX Predictions

No active predictions for this card yet

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Partner Market Odds

Live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi for NHL events that may impact card values.

Partner data from Polymarket & Kalshi. SlabdeX does not facilitate external trading.