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Connor Bedard card

Connor Bedard

#11 - Chicago Blackhawks

2024-25 Upper Deck Black Diamond Hockey (2025)

Base

Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$328.61
Avg Sale Price
$20.90 - $4319.99
Price Range
17
Recent Sales
TitlePriceDateLink
2024-25 Upper Deck Black Diamond Stars 219/249 Connor Bedard #BDS-CB ki6$20.905/3/2026View
2024-25 Upper Deck Black Diamond 12/349 Connor Bedard #BDB-CB 15ok$21.535/3/2026View
2024-25 Upper Deck Black Diamond Stars 208/249 Connor Bedard #BDS-CB$30.005/3/2026View
2024-25 UD Black Diamond Connor Bedard BDB-CB Base 335/349 Blackhawks$39.955/3/2026View
2024-25 Upper Deck Black Diamond Run for the Cup 69/99 Connor Bedard #RUN-CB 1q2$53.155/3/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,533 (72.2%)
BGS: 590 (27.8%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
1,533
Total Graded
275
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
582
PSA 9 (Mint)
17.9%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
275
17.9%
PSA 9
582
38.0%
PSA 8.5
122
8.0%
PSA 8
183
11.9%
PSA 7
153
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
96
6.3%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
590
Total Graded
3
BGS 10 (Black Label)
158
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
26.8%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
3
0.5%
BGS 10(Pristine)
17
2.9%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
158
26.8%
BGS 9(Mint)
236
40.0%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
80
13.6%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
69
11.7%
BGS 7.5-
27
4.6%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$624
$468-$936
BGS 10
$312
$234-$390
BGS 9.5
$156
$117-$195
BGS 9
$94
$78-$117
BGS 8.5
$70
$55-$86
BGS 8
$55
$39-$70

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
211
Total Graded
40
SGC 10 (Pristine)
45
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
19%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
40(19%)
SGC 9.5
45(21.3%)
SGC 9
73(34.6%)
SGC 8.5
30(14.2%)
SGC 8
20(9.5%)
SGC 7-
3(1.4%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$193
$152 - $242
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$124
$97 - $152
SGC 9 (Mint)
$97
$76 - $117
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$76
$62 - $90
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$62
$48 - $76
SGC 7 (NM)
$48
$35 - $62

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$403
Expected Value
$115 - $493
Value Range
+$164
Potential Gain
-$214
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$501
Expected Value
+$117
Expected Profit
+31%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$1150
+$766
PSA 9
35%
$591
+$207
PSA 8
35%
$427
+$43
PSA 7
18%
$361
$-23
PSA 6
7%
$312
$-72
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Positive expected ROI of 31%. Grading is likely to add value, especially if the card achieves a 10 or better.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

SlabdeX Predictions

No active predictions for this card yet

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Partner Market Odds

Live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi for NHL events that may impact card values.

Partner data from Polymarket & Kalshi. SlabdeX does not facilitate external trading.