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Matvei Michkov card

Matvei Michkov

#5 - Philadelphia Flyers

2024-25 Upper Deck Ice Hockey (2024)

Base

Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$9.97
Avg Sale Price
$1.29 - $29.99
Price Range
50
Recent Sales
TitlePriceDateLink
2024-25 Upper Deck Welcome Aboard Rookies & Speckle Parallels$1.295/1/2026View
MATVEI MICHKOV IVAN FEDOTOV 2024-25 Upper Deck #496 UER Teammates Young Guns RC$2.995/1/2026View
2024-25 SPx Matvei Michkov Bound For Glory #BFG-10$1.905/1/2026View
MATVEI MICHKOV 2024-25 UD Rookie Debut Base Set Redeemed *READ* Get it TODAY!$3.665/1/2026View
U PICK LOT 2024-25 24-25 UD National Hockey card day Base RC card set #NHCD1-31$1.435/1/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,591 (79.7%)
BGS: 406 (20.3%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
1,591
Total Graded
254
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
731
PSA 9 (Mint)
16.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
254
16.0%
PSA 9
731
45.9%
PSA 8.5
127
8.0%
PSA 8
190
11.9%
PSA 7
159
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
3
0.2%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
406
Total Graded
4
BGS 10 (Black Label)
87
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
21.4%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
4
1.0%
BGS 10(Pristine)
14
3.4%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
87
21.4%
BGS 9(Mint)
148
36.5%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
54
13.3%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
51
12.6%
BGS 7.5-
48
11.8%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$1,168
$876-$1752
BGS 10
$584
$438-$730
BGS 9.5
$292
$219-$365
BGS 9
$175
$146-$219
BGS 8.5
$131
$102-$161
BGS 8
$102
$73-$131

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
559
Total Graded
72
SGC 10 (Pristine)
127
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
13%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
72(12.9%)
SGC 9.5
127(22.7%)
SGC 9
225(40.3%)
SGC 8.5
67(12%)
SGC 8
65(11.6%)
SGC 7-
3(0.5%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$484
$381 - $606
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$311
$242 - $381
SGC 9 (Mint)
$242
$190 - $294
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$190
$156 - $225
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$156
$121 - $190
SGC 7 (NM)
$121
$87 - $156

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$12
Expected Value
$3 - $15
Value Range
+$5
Potential Gain
-$6
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$15
Expected Value
$-50
Expected Profit
-77%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$35
$-30
PSA 9
35%
$18
$-47
PSA 8
35%
$13
$-52
PSA 7
18%
$11
$-54
PSA 6
7%
$9
$-56

Negative expected ROI of -77%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

SlabdeX Predictions

No active predictions for this card yet

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Partner Market Odds

Live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi for NHL events that may impact card values.

Partner data from Polymarket & Kalshi. SlabdeX does not facilitate external trading.