SOCCER
Kylian Mbappé
#15 - Paris Saint-Germain
2024 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League (2024)
Red Refractor /5Model A: Deterministic
Print Run5
Verified Sightings2
Publicly Remaining3
Model B: Bayesian
Visibility Factor (f)31%
P(Still Unpulled)98.9%
Expected Remaining2.3
Confidence Score
Medium (67/100)
Coverage: 40 | Sources: 20 | Maturity: 7
$298.40
Avg Sale Price
$215.41 - $366.57
Price Range
12
Recent Sales
Price History (Last 60 Days)
- Average
- Sale Price
| Title | Price | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 2024 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League Kylian Mbappé Red Refractor #/50 | $342.10 | 1/24/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League Kylian Mbappé Red Refractor #/50 | $366.57 | 1/17/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League Kylian Mbappé Red Refractor #/50 | $243.65 | 1/17/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League Kylian Mbappé Red Refractor #/50 | $247.09 | 1/8/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League Kylian Mbappé Red Refractor #/50 | $303.13 | 12/24/2025 | View |
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,519 (80.4%)
BGS: 370 (19.6%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant
PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
1,519
Total Graded
364
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
744
PSA 9 (Mint)
24.0%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
364
24.0%
PSA 9
744
49.0%
PSA 8.5
121
8.0%
PSA 8
182
12.0%
PSA 7
151
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
-164
-10.8%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
370
Total Graded
3
BGS 10 (Black Label)
115
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
31.1%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
3
0.8%
BGS 10(Pristine)
8
2.2%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
115
31.1%
BGS 9(Mint)
147
39.7%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
47
12.7%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
45
12.2%
BGS 7.5-
5
1.4%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$928
$696-$1392
BGS 10
$464
$348-$580
BGS 9.5
$232
$174-$290
BGS 9
$139
$116-$174
BGS 8.5
$104
$81-$128
BGS 8
$81
$58-$104
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
385
Total Graded
51
SGC 10 (Pristine)
91
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
13%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
51(13.2%)
SGC 9.5
91(23.6%)
SGC 9
147(38.2%)
SGC 8.5
46(11.9%)
SGC 8
47(12.2%)
SGC 7-
3(0.8%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$484
$381 - $606
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$311
$242 - $381
SGC 9 (Mint)
$242
$190 - $294
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$190
$156 - $225
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$156
$121 - $190
SGC 7 (NM)
$121
$87 - $156
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$366
Expected Value
$104 - $448
Value Range
+$149
Potential Gain
-$194
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$455
Expected Value
+$102
Expected Profit
+29%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Recommended
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$1044
+$691
PSA 9
35%
$537
+$184
PSA 8
35%
$388
+$35
PSA 7
18%
$328
$-25
PSA 6
7%
$283
$-70
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better
Positive expected ROI of 29%. Grading is likely to add value, especially if the card achieves a 10 or better.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.
| Image | Serial | Source | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #4/5 | EBAY | 1/26/2026 | View | |
| #5/5 | MANUAL | 1/26/2026 | — |