MLB
Shohei Ohtani
#1 - Los Angeles Dodgers
2024 Topps Chrome Baseball (2024)
Superfractor /1Cards Remaining
All copies documented
1
Total Print Run
7
Documented
0
Still Available
7 seen (700.0%)0 remaining (0.0%)
7 of 1 copies have been documented.
All copies have been accounted for.
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced
Model A: Deterministic
Print Run1
Verified Sightings7
Publicly Remaining0
All copies have been publicly documented
Model B: Bayesian
Visibility Factor (f)32%
P(Still Unpulled)0.0%
Expected Remaining0.0
Confidence Score
High (77/100)
Coverage: 40 | Sources: 30 | Maturity: 7
$50125.37
Avg Sale Price
$2.22 - $125000.00
Price Range
6
Recent Sales
| Title | Price | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Topps Bowman 1st Arjun Nimmala | $2.22 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| 2024 Topps Chrome 50/50 Shohei Ohtani SuperFractor 1/1 Stolen Base 35 PSA 9 MINT | $15000.00 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| 2024 Topps 50/50 Shohei Ohtani Chrome Superfractor #55 1/1 PSA 9 | $25750.00 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| 2024 Topps 50/50 Los Angeles Dodgers Shohei Ohtani Chrome - Superfractor 1/1 | $35000.00 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| 2024 Topps chrome Shohei ohtani SP Superfractor GM 10💎 50/50 DM IF INTERESTED | $100000.00 | 3/15/2026 | View |
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 505 (66.1%)
BGS: 259 (33.9%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant
PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
505
Total Graded
101
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
227
PSA 9 (Mint)
20.0%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
101
20.0%
PSA 9
227
45.0%
PSA 8.5
40
7.9%
PSA 8
60
11.9%
PSA 7
50
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
-13
-2.6%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
259
Total Graded
1
BGS 10 (Black Label)
72
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
27.8%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
1
0.4%
BGS 10(Pristine)
7
2.7%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
72
27.8%
BGS 9(Mint)
106
40.9%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
34
13.1%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
34
13.1%
BGS 7.5-
5
1.9%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$632
$474-$948
BGS 10
$316
$237-$395
BGS 9.5
$158
$119-$198
BGS 9
$95
$79-$119
BGS 8.5
$71
$55-$87
BGS 8
$55
$40-$71
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
212
Total Graded
41
SGC 10 (Pristine)
46
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
19%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
41(19.3%)
SGC 9.5
46(21.7%)
SGC 9
70(33%)
SGC 8.5
31(14.6%)
SGC 8
21(9.9%)
SGC 7-
3(1.4%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$230
$180 - $287
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$148
$115 - $180
SGC 9 (Mint)
$115
$90 - $139
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$90
$74 - $107
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$74
$57 - $90
SGC 7 (NM)
$57
$41 - $74
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$61404
Expected Value
$17544 - $75188
Value Range
+$25063
Potential Gain
-$32581
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$551
Total Cost
$76416
Expected Value
+$25740
Expected Profit
+51%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Highly Recommended
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$501
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$175439
+$124763
PSA 9
35%
$90226
+$39550
PSA 8
35%
$65163
+$14487
PSA 7
18%
$55138
+$4462
PSA 6
7%
$47619
$-3057
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better
Strong ROI potential of 51%. This card is an excellent grading candidate with 5% chance of achieving a 10.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.