MLB
Shohei Ohtani
#1 - Los Angeles Dodgers
2024 Topps Chrome Baseball (2024)
Superfractor /1Model A: Deterministic
Print Run1
Verified Sightings7
Publicly Remaining0
All copies have been publicly documented
Model B: Bayesian
Visibility Factor (f)32%
P(Still Unpulled)0.0%
Expected Remaining0.0
Confidence Score
High (77/100)
Coverage: 40 | Sources: 30 | Maturity: 7
$1572.09
Avg Sale Price
$1085.77 - $1876.74
Price Range
8
Recent Sales
Price History (Last 60 Days)
- Average
- Sale Price
| Title | Price | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 2024 Topps Chrome Baseball Shohei Ohtani Superfractor #/50 | $1876.74 | 1/27/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Chrome Baseball Shohei Ohtani Superfractor #/50 | $1795.67 | 1/20/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Chrome Baseball Shohei Ohtani Superfractor #/50 | $1829.60 | 1/18/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Chrome Baseball Shohei Ohtani Superfractor #/50 | $1169.79 | 1/13/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Chrome Baseball Shohei Ohtani Superfractor #/50 | $1773.50 | 1/8/2026 | View |
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 505 (66.1%)
BGS: 259 (33.9%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant
PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
505
Total Graded
101
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
227
PSA 9 (Mint)
20.0%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
101
20.0%
PSA 9
227
45.0%
PSA 8.5
40
7.9%
PSA 8
60
11.9%
PSA 7
50
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
-13
-2.6%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
259
Total Graded
1
BGS 10 (Black Label)
72
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
27.8%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
1
0.4%
BGS 10(Pristine)
7
2.7%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
72
27.8%
BGS 9(Mint)
106
40.9%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
34
13.1%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
34
13.1%
BGS 7.5-
5
1.9%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$632
$474-$948
BGS 10
$316
$237-$395
BGS 9.5
$158
$119-$198
BGS 9
$95
$79-$119
BGS 8.5
$71
$55-$87
BGS 8
$55
$40-$71
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
212
Total Graded
41
SGC 10 (Pristine)
46
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
19%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
41(19.3%)
SGC 9.5
46(21.7%)
SGC 9
70(33%)
SGC 8.5
31(14.6%)
SGC 8
21(9.9%)
SGC 7-
3(1.4%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$230
$180 - $287
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$148
$115 - $180
SGC 9 (Mint)
$115
$90 - $139
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$90
$74 - $107
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$74
$57 - $90
SGC 7 (NM)
$57
$41 - $74
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$1926
Expected Value
$550 - $2358
Value Range
+$786
Potential Gain
-$1022
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$66
Total Cost
$2397
Expected Value
+$759
Expected Profit
+46%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Recommended
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$16
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$5502
+$3864
PSA 9
35%
$2830
+$1192
PSA 8
35%
$2044
+$406
PSA 7
18%
$1729
+$91
PSA 6
7%
$1493
$-145
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better
Positive expected ROI of 46%. Grading is likely to add value, especially if the card achieves a 10 or better.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.