SOCCER
Lionel Messi
#25 - Inter Miami
2024 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League (2024)
UCL Auto /99Model A: Deterministic
Print Run99
Verified Sightings6
Publicly Remaining93
Model B: Bayesian
Visibility Factor (f)31%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining68.6
Confidence Score
Low (33/100)
Coverage: 6 | Sources: 20 | Maturity: 7
$278.41
Avg Sale Price
$210.46 - $318.56
Price Range
5
Recent Sales
Price History (Last 60 Days)
- Average
- Sale Price
| Title | Price | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 2024 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League Lionel Messi UCL Auto #/50 | $318.56 | 1/12/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League Lionel Messi UCL Auto #/50 | $306.91 | 1/10/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League Lionel Messi UCL Auto #/50 | $308.32 | 11/30/2025 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League Lionel Messi UCL Auto #/50 | $247.78 | 11/30/2025 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League Lionel Messi UCL Auto #/50 | $210.46 | 11/30/2025 | View |
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 521 (58.7%)
BGS: 367 (41.3%)
Market Preference:Evenly Split
Both grading services are popular for this card. Choose based on your preference.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
521
Total Graded
83
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
187
PSA 9 (Mint)
15.9%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
83
15.9%
PSA 9
187
35.9%
PSA 8.5
41
7.9%
PSA 8
62
11.9%
PSA 7
52
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
55
10.6%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
367
Total Graded
3
BGS 10 (Black Label)
90
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
24.5%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
3
0.8%
BGS 10(Pristine)
14
3.8%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
90
24.5%
BGS 9(Mint)
135
36.8%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
51
13.9%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
38
10.4%
BGS 7.5-
36
9.8%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$1,192
$894-$1788
BGS 10
$596
$447-$745
BGS 9.5
$298
$224-$373
BGS 9
$179
$149-$224
BGS 8.5
$134
$104-$164
BGS 8
$104
$75-$134
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
428
Total Graded
68
SGC 10 (Pristine)
100
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
16%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
68(15.9%)
SGC 9.5
100(23.4%)
SGC 9
157(36.7%)
SGC 8.5
53(12.4%)
SGC 8
47(11%)
SGC 7-
3(0.7%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$230
$180 - $287
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$148
$115 - $180
SGC 9 (Mint)
$115
$90 - $139
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$90
$74 - $107
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$74
$57 - $90
SGC 7 (NM)
$57
$41 - $74
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$341
Expected Value
$97 - $418
Value Range
+$139
Potential Gain
-$181
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$424
Expected Value
+$91
Expected Profit
+27%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Recommended
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$974
+$641
PSA 9
35%
$501
+$168
PSA 8
35%
$362
+$29
PSA 7
18%
$306
$-27
PSA 6
7%
$264
$-69
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better
Positive expected ROI of 27%. Grading is likely to add value, especially if the card achieves a 10 or better.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.