SOCCER
Neymar Jr.
#35 - Al-Hilal
2024 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League (2024)
Gold Refractor /50Cards Remaining
Good availability
50
Total Print Run
4
Documented
46
Still Available
4 seen (8.0%)46 remaining (92.0%)
4 of 50 copies have been documented.
46 copies could still be pulled from packs!
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced
Model A: Deterministic
Print Run50
Verified Sightings4
Publicly Remaining46
Model B: Bayesian
Visibility Factor (f)31%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining34.5
Confidence Score
Medium (45/100)
Coverage: 8 | Sources: 30 | Maturity: 7
$2.29
Avg Sale Price
$1.43 - $2.88
Price Range
16
Recent Sales
eBay Price History
Last 60 days of sales data+44.2%
16 sales tracked$1
Low
$2
Average
$3
High
+1
Change
| Title | Price | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 2024 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League Neymar Jr. Gold Refractor PSA 10 | $2.87 | 3/11/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League Neymar Jr. Gold Refractor BGS 9.5 | $2.35 | 3/7/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League Neymar Jr. Gold Refractor BGS 9.5 | $2.48 | 2/26/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League Neymar Jr. Gold Refractor | $1.78 | 2/26/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League Neymar Jr. Gold Refractor PSA 10 | $2.34 | 2/20/2026 | View |
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 518 (57.6%)
BGS: 381 (42.4%)
Market Preference:Evenly Split
Both grading services are popular for this card. Choose based on your preference.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
518
Total Graded
119
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
196
PSA 9 (Mint)
23.0%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
119
23.0%
PSA 9
196
37.8%
PSA 8.5
41
7.9%
PSA 8
62
12.0%
PSA 7
51
9.8%
PSA 6 & Below
8
1.5%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
381
Total Graded
2
BGS 10 (Black Label)
107
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
28.1%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
2
0.5%
BGS 10(Pristine)
12
3.1%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
107
28.1%
BGS 9(Mint)
154
40.4%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
46
12.1%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
39
10.2%
BGS 7.5-
21
5.5%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$1,368
$1026-$2052
BGS 10
$684
$513-$855
BGS 9.5
$342
$257-$428
BGS 9
$205
$171-$257
BGS 8.5
$154
$120-$188
BGS 8
$120
$86-$154
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
431
Total Graded
52
SGC 10 (Pristine)
97
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
12%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
52(12.1%)
SGC 9.5
97(22.5%)
SGC 9
151(35%)
SGC 8.5
62(14.4%)
SGC 8
48(11.1%)
SGC 7-
21(4.9%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$302
$238 - $378
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$194
$151 - $238
SGC 9 (Mint)
$151
$119 - $184
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$119
$97 - $140
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$97
$76 - $119
SGC 7 (NM)
$76
$54 - $97
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$3
Expected Value
$1 - $3
Value Range
+$1
Potential Gain
-$1
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$4
Expected Value
$-53
Expected Profit
-93%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$8
$-49
PSA 9
35%
$4
$-53
PSA 8
35%
$3
$-54
PSA 7
18%
$3
$-54
PSA 6
7%
$2
$-55
Negative expected ROI of -93%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.