SOCCER

Kevin De Bruyne

#40 - Manchester City

2024 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League (2024)

Gold Refractor /50

Model A: Deterministic

Print Run50

Verified Sightings3

Publicly Remaining47

Model B: Bayesian

Visibility Factor (f)31%

P(Still Unpulled)100.0%

Expected Remaining34.8

Confidence Score

Low (33/100)

Coverage: 6 | Sources: 20 | Maturity: 7

Market Sales Data

$146.70

Avg Sale Price

$110.70 - $190.52

Price Range

Recent Sales

Price History (Last 60 Days)

Average
Sale Price

Title	Price	Date	Link
2024 2024 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League Kevin De Bruyne Gold Refractor #/50	$118.82	1/11/2026	View
2024 2024 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League Kevin De Bruyne Gold Refractor #/50	$128.65	1/5/2026	View
2024 2024 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League Kevin De Bruyne Gold Refractor #/50	$170.48	1/5/2026	View
2024 2024 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League Kevin De Bruyne Gold Refractor #/50	$111.08	12/28/2025	View
2024 2024 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League Kevin De Bruyne Gold Refractor #/50	$190.52	12/25/2025	View

Grading Service Comparison

PSA

BGS

PSA: 1,518 (79.3%)

BGS: 397 (20.7%)

Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data

1,518

Total Graded

349

PSA 10 (Gem Mint)

728

PSA 9 (Mint)

23.0%

PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10

349

23.0%

PSA 9

728

48.0%

PSA 8.5

121

8.0%

PSA 8

182

12.0%

PSA 7

151

9.9%

PSA 6 & Below

-134

-8.8%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10

$175

PSA 9

$90

PSA 8

$60

PSA 7

$50

PSA 6

$40

Auth

$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data

397

Total Graded

BGS 10 (Black Label)

115

BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)

29.0%

BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)

0.8%

BGS 10(Pristine)

2.8%

BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)

115

29.0%

BGS 9(Mint)

163

41.1%

BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)

13.6%

BGS 8(NM-MT)

11.6%

BGS 7.5-

1.3%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL

$1,456

$1092-$2184

BGS 10

$728

$546-$910

BGS 9.5

$364

$273-$455

BGS 9

$218

$182-$273

BGS 8.5

$164

$127-$200

BGS 8

$127

$91-$164

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data

452

Total Graded

SGC 10 (Pristine)

110

SGC 9.5 (Mint+)

14%

SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10

65(14.4%)

SGC 9.5

110(24.3%)

SGC 9

166(36.7%)

SGC 8.5

60(13.3%)

SGC 8

48(10.6%)

SGC 7-

3(0.7%)

View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)

$339

$266 - $424

SGC 9.5 (Mint+)

$218

$169 - $266

SGC 9 (Mint)

$169

$133 - $206

SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)

$133

$109 - $157

SGC 8 (NM-MT)

$109

$85 - $133

SGC 7 (NM)

$85

$61 - $109

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator

Current Service

Current Grade

Target Service

Current Value ($)

BGS 9.5

PSA

Crossover Recommendation:Recommended

Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)

70%

Upgrade

PSA 9(Mint)

28%

Same Grade

PSA 8(NM-MT)

Downgrade

70%

Upgrade Rate

28%

Same Grade

Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$180

Expected Value

$51 - $220

Value Range

+$73

Potential Gain

-$95

Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.

Grading Cost Calculator

Raw Card Value ($)

Card Condition

Grading Service

Service Level

$55

Total Cost

$224

Expected Value

+$22

Expected Profit

+11%

Expected ROI

Recommendation:Consider Carefully

Cost Breakdown

$22

Grading Fee

$15

Shipping To

$13

Shipping Back

Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10

$513

+$311

PSA 9

35%

$264

+$62

PSA 8

35%

$191

$-11

PSA 7

18%

$161

$-41

PSA 6

$139

$-63

Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Marginal ROI of 11%. Consider grading only if you need authentication or plan to hold long-term. Break-even requires 10.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

Serial	Source	Date	Link
#47/50	MANUAL	1/26/2026	—
#12/50	MANUAL	1/26/2026	—
#46/50	PSA	1/26/2026	View