SOCCER
Mohamed Salah
#45 - Liverpool
2024 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League (2024)
Red Refractor /5Model A: Deterministic
Print Run5
Verified Sightings6
Publicly Remaining0
All copies have been publicly documented
Model B: Bayesian
Visibility Factor (f)31%
P(Still Unpulled)0.0%
Expected Remaining0.0
Confidence Score
High (77/100)
Coverage: 40 | Sources: 30 | Maturity: 7
$265.17
Avg Sale Price
$214.36 - $334.23
Price Range
10
Recent Sales
Price History (Last 60 Days)
- Average
- Sale Price
| Title | Price | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 2024 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League Mohamed Salah Red Refractor #/50 | $269.58 | 1/20/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League Mohamed Salah Red Refractor #/50 | $278.24 | 1/20/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League Mohamed Salah Red Refractor #/50 | $259.22 | 1/18/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League Mohamed Salah Red Refractor #/50 | $258.76 | 1/12/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League Mohamed Salah Red Refractor #/50 | $288.99 | 1/10/2026 | View |
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 519 (55.6%)
BGS: 414 (44.4%)
Market Preference:Evenly Split
Both grading services are popular for this card. Choose based on your preference.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
519
Total Graded
124
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
228
PSA 9 (Mint)
23.9%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
124
23.9%
PSA 9
228
43.9%
PSA 8.5
41
7.9%
PSA 8
62
11.9%
PSA 7
51
9.8%
PSA 6 & Below
-28
-5.4%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
414
Total Graded
1
BGS 10 (Black Label)
124
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
30.0%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
1
0.2%
BGS 10(Pristine)
10
2.4%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
124
30.0%
BGS 9(Mint)
173
41.8%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
62
15.0%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
39
9.4%
BGS 7.5-
5
1.2%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$1,544
$1158-$2316
BGS 10
$772
$579-$965
BGS 9.5
$386
$290-$483
BGS 9
$232
$193-$290
BGS 8.5
$174
$135-$212
BGS 8
$135
$97-$174
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
453
Total Graded
57
SGC 10 (Pristine)
93
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
13%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
57(12.6%)
SGC 9.5
93(20.5%)
SGC 9
181(40%)
SGC 8.5
57(12.6%)
SGC 8
48(10.6%)
SGC 7-
17(3.8%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$375
$295 - $469
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$241
$188 - $295
SGC 9 (Mint)
$188
$147 - $228
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$147
$121 - $174
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$121
$94 - $147
SGC 7 (NM)
$94
$67 - $121
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$325
Expected Value
$93 - $398
Value Range
+$133
Potential Gain
-$172
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$404
Expected Value
+$84
Expected Profit
+26%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Recommended
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$928
+$608
PSA 9
35%
$477
+$157
PSA 8
35%
$345
+$25
PSA 7
18%
$292
$-28
PSA 6
7%
$252
$-68
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better
Positive expected ROI of 26%. Grading is likely to add value, especially if the card achieves a 10 or better.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.