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Robert Lewandowski card
SOCCER

Robert Lewandowski

#50 - Barcelona

2024 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League (2024)

Gold Refractor /50

Cards Remaining

Good availability

Gold Refractor
50
Total Print Run
3
Documented
47
Still Available
3 seen (6.0%)47 remaining (94.0%)

3 of 50 copies have been documented.

47 copies could still be pulled from packs!

Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print Run50
Verified Sightings3
Publicly Remaining47

Model B: Bayesian

Visibility Factor (f)31%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining34.8

Confidence Score

Low (33/100)
Coverage: 6 | Sources: 20 | Maturity: 7

Market Sales Data

$231.66
Avg Sale Price
$45.00 - $399.99
Price Range
3
Recent Sales
TitlePriceDateLink
Topps 2023-24 Chrome UEFA Lewandowski Gold Refractor Auto 48/50 SGC 9.5$399.993/15/2026View
Topps Chrome UEFA Robert Lewandowski FC Barcelona Shooting Stars Gold Ref #98-4…$45.003/15/2026View
2024-25 Topps Chrome UEFA Robert Lewandowski Auto 32/50 Gold Refractor #CA-RL SP$250.003/15/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,518 (79.1%)
BGS: 402 (20.9%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
1,518
Total Graded
349
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
576
PSA 9 (Mint)
23.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
349
23.0%
PSA 9
576
37.9%
PSA 8.5
121
8.0%
PSA 8
182
12.0%
PSA 7
151
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
18
1.2%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
402
Total Graded
3
BGS 10 (Black Label)
82
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
20.4%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
3
0.7%
BGS 10(Pristine)
10
2.5%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
82
20.4%
BGS 9(Mint)
142
35.3%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
50
12.4%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
47
11.7%
BGS 7.5-
68
16.9%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$432
$324-$648
BGS 10
$216
$162-$270
BGS 9.5
$108
$81-$135
BGS 9
$65
$54-$81
BGS 8.5
$49
$38-$59
BGS 8
$38
$27-$49

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
491
Total Graded
69
SGC 10 (Pristine)
106
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
14%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
69(14.1%)
SGC 9.5
106(21.6%)
SGC 9
196(39.9%)
SGC 8.5
69(14.1%)
SGC 8
48(9.8%)
SGC 7-
3(0.6%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$412
$323 - $515
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$265
$206 - $323
SGC 9 (Mint)
$206
$162 - $250
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$162
$132 - $191
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$132
$103 - $162
SGC 7 (NM)
$103
$74 - $132

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$284
Expected Value
$81 - $347
Value Range
+$116
Potential Gain
-$151
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$353
Expected Value
+$66
Expected Profit
+23%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$811
+$524
PSA 9
35%
$417
+$130
PSA 8
35%
$301
+$14
PSA 7
18%
$255
$-32
PSA 6
7%
$220
$-67
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Positive expected ROI of 23%. Grading is likely to add value, especially if the card achieves a 10 or better.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

ImageSerialSourceDateLink
#43/50PSA1/26/2026View
#5/50YOUTUBE1/26/2026View
#17/50YOUTUBE1/26/2026View

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