SOCCER
Lorenzo Insigne
#5 - Toronto FC
2024 Topps MLS Soccer (2024)
Gold /50Cards Remaining
Good availability
50
Total Print Run
5
Documented
45
Still Available
5 seen (10.0%)45 remaining (90.0%)
5 of 50 copies have been documented.
45 copies could still be pulled from packs!
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced
Model A: Deterministic
Print Run50
Verified Sightings5
Publicly Remaining45
Model B: Bayesian
Visibility Factor (f)29%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining35.2
Confidence Score
Medium (46/100)
Coverage: 10 | Sources: 30 | Maturity: 6
$9.99
Avg Sale Price
$0.00 - $41.94
Price Range
26
Recent Sales
eBay Price History
Last 60 days of sales data0.0%
1 sales tracked$0
Low
$10
Average
$0
High
0
Change
| Title | Price | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Topps Chrome MLS LORENZO INSIGNE ROSE GOLD TORONTO FC 173/250 #134 | $1.49 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| 2024 Topps Finest MLS Lorenzo Insigne Prized Footballers Gold Refractor /50 | $2.99 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| 2024 Topps Finest MLS Lorenzo Insigne #PF-11 Prized Footballers Gold /50 | $3.99 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| 2024 Topps Chrome MLS Sapphire Lorenzo Insigne Gold Refractor 40/50 | $3.91 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| 2024 Topps Finest MLS Lorenzo Insigne Gold Refractor 23/75 Common #7 | $3.91 | 3/15/2026 | View |
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,523 (78.5%)
BGS: 416 (21.5%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant
PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
1,523
Total Graded
274
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
731
PSA 9 (Mint)
18.0%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
274
18.0%
PSA 9
731
48.0%
PSA 8.5
121
7.9%
PSA 8
182
12.0%
PSA 7
152
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
-58
-3.8%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
416
Total Graded
2
BGS 10 (Black Label)
99
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
23.8%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
2
0.5%
BGS 10(Pristine)
8
1.9%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
99
23.8%
BGS 9(Mint)
161
38.7%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
65
15.6%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
47
11.3%
BGS 7.5-
34
8.2%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$608
$456-$912
BGS 10
$304
$228-$380
BGS 9.5
$152
$114-$190
BGS 9
$91
$76-$114
BGS 8.5
$68
$53-$84
BGS 8
$53
$38-$68
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
486
Total Graded
74
SGC 10 (Pristine)
103
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
15%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
74(15.2%)
SGC 9.5
103(21.2%)
SGC 9
191(39.3%)
SGC 8.5
64(13.2%)
SGC 8
48(9.9%)
SGC 7-
6(1.2%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$484
$381 - $606
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$311
$242 - $381
SGC 9 (Mint)
$242
$190 - $294
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$190
$156 - $225
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$156
$121 - $190
SGC 7 (NM)
$121
$87 - $156
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$12
Expected Value
$3 - $15
Value Range
+$5
Potential Gain
-$6
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$15
Expected Value
$-50
Expected Profit
-77%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$35
$-30
PSA 9
35%
$18
$-47
PSA 8
35%
$13
$-52
PSA 7
18%
$11
$-54
PSA 6
7%
$9
$-56
Negative expected ROI of -77%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.