SOCCER
Lorenzo Insigne
#5 - Toronto FC
2024 Topps MLS Soccer (2024)
Gold /50Model A: Deterministic
Print Run50
Verified Sightings5
Publicly Remaining45
Model B: Bayesian
Visibility Factor (f)29%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining35.2
Confidence Score
Medium (46/100)
Coverage: 10 | Sources: 30 | Maturity: 6
$143.06
Avg Sale Price
$115.79 - $181.37
Price Range
5
Recent Sales
Price History (Last 60 Days)
- Average
- Sale Price
| Title | Price | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 2024 Topps MLS Soccer Lorenzo Insigne Gold #/50 | $163.14 | 1/23/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps MLS Soccer Lorenzo Insigne Gold #/50 | $132.00 | 1/8/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps MLS Soccer Lorenzo Insigne Gold #/50 | $123.00 | 12/7/2025 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps MLS Soccer Lorenzo Insigne Gold #/50 | $115.79 | 12/6/2025 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps MLS Soccer Lorenzo Insigne Gold #/50 | $181.37 | 11/30/2025 | View |
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,523 (78.5%)
BGS: 416 (21.5%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant
PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
1,523
Total Graded
274
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
731
PSA 9 (Mint)
18.0%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
274
18.0%
PSA 9
731
48.0%
PSA 8.5
121
7.9%
PSA 8
182
12.0%
PSA 7
152
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
-58
-3.8%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
416
Total Graded
2
BGS 10 (Black Label)
99
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
23.8%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
2
0.5%
BGS 10(Pristine)
8
1.9%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
99
23.8%
BGS 9(Mint)
161
38.7%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
65
15.6%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
47
11.3%
BGS 7.5-
34
8.2%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$608
$456-$912
BGS 10
$304
$228-$380
BGS 9.5
$152
$114-$190
BGS 9
$91
$76-$114
BGS 8.5
$68
$53-$84
BGS 8
$53
$38-$68
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
486
Total Graded
74
SGC 10 (Pristine)
103
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
15%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
74(15.2%)
SGC 9.5
103(21.2%)
SGC 9
191(39.3%)
SGC 8.5
64(13.2%)
SGC 8
48(9.9%)
SGC 7-
6(1.2%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$484
$381 - $606
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$311
$242 - $381
SGC 9 (Mint)
$242
$190 - $294
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$190
$156 - $225
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$156
$121 - $190
SGC 7 (NM)
$121
$87 - $156
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$175
Expected Value
$50 - $215
Value Range
+$72
Potential Gain
-$93
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$218
Expected Value
+$20
Expected Profit
+10%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Consider Carefully
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$501
+$303
PSA 9
35%
$258
+$60
PSA 8
35%
$186
$-12
PSA 7
18%
$157
$-41
PSA 6
7%
$136
$-62
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better
Marginal ROI of 10%. Consider grading only if you need authentication or plan to hold long-term. Break-even requires 10.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.