SOCCER
Xherdan Shaqiri
#10 - Chicago Fire
2024 Topps MLS Soccer (2024)
Red /10Model A: Deterministic
Print Run10
Verified Sightings3
Publicly Remaining7
Model B: Bayesian
Visibility Factor (f)29%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining5.6
Confidence Score
Medium (56/100)
Coverage: 30 | Sources: 20 | Maturity: 6
$314.49
Avg Sale Price
$243.55 - $381.89
Price Range
8
Recent Sales
Price History (Last 60 Days)
- Average
- Sale Price
| Title | Price | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 2024 Topps MLS Soccer Xherdan Shaqiri Red #/50 | $262.95 | 1/25/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps MLS Soccer Xherdan Shaqiri Red #/50 | $334.35 | 1/21/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps MLS Soccer Xherdan Shaqiri Red #/50 | $379.69 | 1/18/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps MLS Soccer Xherdan Shaqiri Red #/50 | $243.55 | 1/18/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps MLS Soccer Xherdan Shaqiri Red #/50 | $381.89 | 1/12/2026 | View |
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 524 (55.3%)
BGS: 423 (44.7%)
Market Preference:Evenly Split
Both grading services are popular for this card. Choose based on your preference.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
524
Total Graded
99
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
230
PSA 9 (Mint)
18.9%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
99
18.9%
PSA 9
230
43.9%
PSA 8.5
41
7.8%
PSA 8
62
11.8%
PSA 7
52
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
-1
-0.2%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
423
Total Graded
3
BGS 10 (Black Label)
107
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
25.3%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
3
0.7%
BGS 10(Pristine)
15
3.5%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
107
25.3%
BGS 9(Mint)
171
40.4%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
53
12.5%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
55
13.0%
BGS 7.5-
19
4.5%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$696
$522-$1044
BGS 10
$348
$261-$435
BGS 9.5
$174
$131-$218
BGS 9
$104
$87-$131
BGS 8.5
$78
$61-$96
BGS 8
$61
$44-$78
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
511
Total Graded
66
SGC 10 (Pristine)
116
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
13%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
66(12.9%)
SGC 9.5
116(22.7%)
SGC 9
205(40.1%)
SGC 8.5
61(11.9%)
SGC 8
60(11.7%)
SGC 7-
3(0.6%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$157
$123 - $196
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$101
$78 - $123
SGC 9 (Mint)
$78
$62 - $95
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$62
$50 - $73
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$50
$39 - $62
SGC 7 (NM)
$39
$28 - $50
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$385
Expected Value
$110 - $472
Value Range
+$157
Potential Gain
-$204
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$480
Expected Value
+$111
Expected Profit
+30%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Recommended
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$1101
+$732
PSA 9
35%
$566
+$197
PSA 8
35%
$409
+$40
PSA 7
18%
$346
$-23
PSA 6
7%
$299
$-70
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better
Positive expected ROI of 30%. Grading is likely to add value, especially if the card achieves a 10 or better.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.