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Alakazam ex SAR card

Alakazam ex SAR

#205 - Psychic

Crown Zenith (2023)

Base

Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$4.46
Avg Sale Price
$3.17 - $6.92
Price Range
17
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
+13.5%
17 sales tracked
Jan 20Jan 22Jan 22Jan 23Jan 30Feb 10Feb 16Feb 17Feb 18Feb 20Feb 23Mar 1Mar 3Mar 6Mar 8Mar 11Mar 13$2.795$4.795$7.295Avg: $4
$3
Low
$4
Average
$7
High
+0
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2023 Crown Zenith Alakazam ex SAR Base$4.043/13/2026View
2023 Crown Zenith Alakazam ex SAR Base$3.993/11/2026View
2023 Crown Zenith Alakazam ex SAR Base BGS 9.5$4.253/8/2026View
2023 Crown Zenith Alakazam ex SAR Base PSA 9$3.593/6/2026View
2023 Crown Zenith Alakazam ex SAR Base$3.383/3/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,508 (65.7%)
BGS: 788 (34.3%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
1,508
Total Graded
346
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
573
PSA 9 (Mint)
22.9%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
346
22.9%
PSA 9
573
38.0%
PSA 8.5
120
8.0%
PSA 8
180
11.9%
PSA 7
150
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
19
1.3%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
788
Total Graded
5
BGS 10 (Black Label)
195
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
24.7%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
5
0.6%
BGS 10(Pristine)
19
2.4%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
195
24.7%
BGS 9(Mint)
303
38.5%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
102
12.9%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
86
10.9%
BGS 7.5-
78
9.9%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$1,456
$1092-$2184
BGS 10
$728
$546-$910
BGS 9.5
$364
$273-$455
BGS 9
$218
$182-$273
BGS 8.5
$164
$127-$200
BGS 8
$127
$91-$164

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
472
Total Graded
65
SGC 10 (Pristine)
110
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
14%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
65(13.8%)
SGC 9.5
110(23.3%)
SGC 9
186(39.4%)
SGC 8.5
60(12.7%)
SGC 8
48(10.2%)
SGC 7-
3(0.6%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$339
$266 - $424
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$218
$169 - $266
SGC 9 (Mint)
$169
$133 - $206
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$133
$109 - $157
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$109
$85 - $133
SGC 7 (NM)
$85
$61 - $109

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$5
Expected Value
$2 - $7
Value Range
+$2
Potential Gain
-$3
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$8
Expected Value
$-51
Expected Profit
-87%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$18
$-41
PSA 9
35%
$9
$-50
PSA 8
35%
$7
$-52
PSA 7
18%
$6
$-53
PSA 6
7%
$5
$-54

Negative expected ROI of -87%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

SlabdeX Predictions

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