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Vaporeon card

Vaporeon

#134 - Water

Crown Zenith (2023)

Base

Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$1.23
Avg Sale Price
$0.93 - $1.73
Price Range
9
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
+57.0%
9 sales tracked
Jan 17Jan 24Jan 28Feb 9Feb 16Feb 19Mar 4Mar 7Mar 11$0.8500000000000001$1.1$1.35$1.81Avg: $1
$1
Low
$1
Average
$2
High
+1
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2023 Crown Zenith Vaporeon Base PSA 10$1.463/11/2026View
2023 Crown Zenith Vaporeon Base PSA 10$1.733/7/2026View
2023 Crown Zenith Vaporeon Base PSA 10$1.293/4/2026View
2023 Crown Zenith Vaporeon Base$1.122/19/2026View
2023 Crown Zenith Vaporeon Base PSA 9$1.332/16/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 508 (38.6%)
BGS: 809 (61.4%)
Market Preference:BGS Dominant

BGS is the preferred grading service for this card. BGS 9.5s may command premium prices.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
508
Total Graded
116
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
193
PSA 9 (Mint)
22.8%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
116
22.8%
PSA 9
193
38.0%
PSA 8.5
40
7.9%
PSA 8
60
11.8%
PSA 7
50
9.8%
PSA 6 & Below
9
1.8%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
809
Total Graded
6
BGS 10 (Black Label)
170
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
21.0%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
6
0.7%
BGS 10(Pristine)
17
2.1%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
170
21.0%
BGS 9(Mint)
292
36.1%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
106
13.1%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
94
11.6%
BGS 7.5-
124
15.3%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$520
$390-$780
BGS 10
$260
$195-$325
BGS 9.5
$130
$98-$163
BGS 9
$78
$65-$98
BGS 8.5
$59
$46-$72
BGS 8
$46
$33-$59

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
496
Total Graded
62
SGC 10 (Pristine)
120
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
13%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
62(12.5%)
SGC 9.5
120(24.2%)
SGC 9
196(39.5%)
SGC 8.5
67(13.5%)
SGC 8
48(9.7%)
SGC 7-
3(0.6%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$448
$352 - $560
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$288
$224 - $352
SGC 9 (Mint)
$224
$176 - $272
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$176
$144 - $208
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$144
$112 - $176
SGC 7 (NM)
$112
$80 - $144

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$2
Expected Value
$0 - $2
Value Range
+$1
Potential Gain
-$1
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$2
Expected Value
$-54
Expected Profit
-96%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$5
$-51
PSA 9
35%
$3
$-53
PSA 8
35%
$2
$-54
PSA 7
18%
$2
$-54
PSA 6
7%
$1
$-55

Negative expected ROI of -96%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

Community Sentiment

How community odds have shifted over time for active predictions on this card.

Will Vaporeon BGS 9.5 to PSA 10 crossover success rate exceed 40%?

Sentiment data will appear as votes come in