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Charmander card

Charmander

#004 - Fire

Obsidian Flames (2023)

Base

Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$726.19
Avg Sale Price
$0.00 - $5800.00
Price Range
8
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
0.0%
2 sales tracked
May 5May 7$-10$-5$0$5$10
$0
Low
$726
Average
$0
High
0
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2023 Pokemon TCG Obsidian Flames Base Holos and EX U PICK Complete your set$0.995/3/2026View
2023 Pokemon Gaming SV Obsidian Flames - OBF EN Charmander #026/197$0.995/3/2026View
Pokémon TCG Charmander #26/197 Base SV03: Obsidian Flames $2.005/3/2026View
Charmander 026/197 Obsidian Flames Pokémon TCG Base Common SV03 NM$3.505/3/2026View
2023 Pokemon SVP EN Obsidian Flames Pokemon Center ETB Charmander PSA 9 #044$0.005/7/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 515 (37.7%)
BGS: 851 (62.3%)
Market Preference:BGS Dominant

BGS is the preferred grading service for this card. BGS 9.5s may command premium prices.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
515
Total Graded
103
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
231
PSA 9 (Mint)
20.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
103
20.0%
PSA 9
231
44.9%
PSA 8.5
41
8.0%
PSA 8
61
11.8%
PSA 7
51
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
-13
-2.5%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
851
Total Graded
6
BGS 10 (Black Label)
171
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
20.1%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
6
0.7%
BGS 10(Pristine)
20
2.4%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
171
20.1%
BGS 9(Mint)
308
36.2%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
113
13.3%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
96
11.3%
BGS 7.5-
137
16.1%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$1,048
$786-$1572
BGS 10
$524
$393-$655
BGS 9.5
$262
$197-$328
BGS 9
$157
$131-$197
BGS 8.5
$118
$92-$144
BGS 8
$92
$66-$118

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
541
Total Graded
75
SGC 10 (Pristine)
109
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
14%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
75(13.9%)
SGC 9.5
109(20.1%)
SGC 9
215(39.7%)
SGC 8.5
65(12%)
SGC 8
61(11.3%)
SGC 7-
16(3%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$302
$238 - $378
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$194
$151 - $238
SGC 9 (Mint)
$151
$119 - $184
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$119
$97 - $140
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$97
$76 - $119
SGC 7 (NM)
$76
$54 - $97

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$890
Expected Value
$254 - $1089
Value Range
+$363
Potential Gain
-$472
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$57
Total Cost
$1273
Expected Value
+$490
Expected Profit
+63%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Highly Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$7
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$2923
+$2140
PSA 9
35%
$1503
+$720
PSA 8
35%
$1086
+$303
PSA 7
18%
$919
+$136
PSA 6
7%
$793
+$10
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Strong ROI potential of 63%. This card is an excellent grading candidate with 5% chance of achieving a 10.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

Community Sentiment

How community odds have shifted over time for active predictions on this card.

Will Charmander PSA 10 average sale price increase by 15%+ in the next 30 days?

Sentiment data will appear as votes come in