Pikachu
#025 - Electric
Obsidian Flames (2023)
BaseUnnumbered Card
Print run unknown
0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced
Model A: Deterministic
Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A
Model B: Bayesian
Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.
Confidence Score
Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0
$6.33
Avg Sale Price
$0.99 - $25.00
Price Range
5
Recent Sales
| Title | Price | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 Pokemon TCG Obsidian Flames Base Holos and EX U PICK Complete your set | $0.99 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| 2023 Pokémon SV Obsidian Flames !!Pick Your Card Non-Holo and Holo!! | $0.99 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| Ryme 221/197 Sv03: Obsidian Flames Holo | $2.13 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| Ryme 221/197 Sv03: Obsidian Flames Holo | $2.54 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| PSA 9 Bellibolt 201/197 Pokemon Sv: Obsidian Flames Illustration Rare 2023 MINT | $25.00 | 3/15/2026 | View |
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 515 (37.3%)
BGS: 865 (62.7%)
Market Preference:BGS Dominant
BGS is the preferred grading service for this card. BGS 9.5s may command premium prices.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
515
Total Graded
103
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
180
PSA 9 (Mint)
20.0%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
103
20.0%
PSA 9
180
35.0%
PSA 8.5
41
8.0%
PSA 8
61
11.8%
PSA 7
51
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
38
7.4%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
865
Total Graded
5
BGS 10 (Black Label)
188
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
21.7%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
5
0.6%
BGS 10(Pristine)
18
2.1%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
188
21.7%
BGS 9(Mint)
327
37.8%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
108
12.5%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
96
11.1%
BGS 7.5-
123
14.2%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$1,224
$918-$1836
BGS 10
$612
$459-$765
BGS 9.5
$306
$230-$383
BGS 9
$184
$153-$230
BGS 8.5
$138
$107-$168
BGS 8
$107
$77-$138
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
564
Total Graded
80
SGC 10 (Pristine)
135
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
14%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
80(14.2%)
SGC 9.5
135(23.9%)
SGC 9
210(37.2%)
SGC 8.5
75(13.3%)
SGC 8
61(10.8%)
SGC 7-
3(0.5%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$375
$295 - $469
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$241
$188 - $295
SGC 9 (Mint)
$188
$147 - $228
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$147
$121 - $174
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$121
$94 - $147
SGC 7 (NM)
$94
$67 - $121
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$8
Expected Value
$2 - $9
Value Range
+$3
Potential Gain
-$4
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$11
Expected Value
$-50
Expected Profit
-82%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$25
$-36
PSA 9
35%
$13
$-48
PSA 8
35%
$9
$-52
PSA 7
18%
$8
$-53
PSA 6
7%
$7
$-54
Negative expected ROI of -82%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.