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Jolteon

#135 - Electric

Obsidian Flames (2023)

Base

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$51.66
Avg Sale Price
$35.42 - $62.68
Price Range
8
Recent Sales

Price History (Last 60 Days)

Dec 7Dec 12Dec 15Dec 20Dec 27Dec 29Dec 30Jan 11$35$42$49$56$63
  • Average
  • Sale Price
TitlePriceDateLink
2023 Obsidian Flames Jolteon Base #/50$50.151/11/2026View
2023 Obsidian Flames Jolteon Base #/50$39.7812/30/2025View
2023 Obsidian Flames Jolteon Base #/50$60.1112/29/2025View
2023 Obsidian Flames Jolteon Base #/50$62.6812/27/2025View
2023 Obsidian Flames Jolteon Base #/50$51.8212/20/2025View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,515 (62%)
BGS: 928 (38%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
1,515
Total Graded
303
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
530
PSA 9 (Mint)
20.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
303
20.0%
PSA 9
530
35.0%
PSA 8.5
121
8.0%
PSA 8
181
11.9%
PSA 7
151
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
108
7.1%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
928
Total Graded
5
BGS 10 (Black Label)
213
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
23.0%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
5
0.5%
BGS 10(Pristine)
18
1.9%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
213
23.0%
BGS 9(Mint)
332
35.8%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
119
12.8%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
105
11.3%
BGS 7.5-
136
14.7%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$816
$612-$1224
BGS 10
$408
$306-$510
BGS 9.5
$204
$153-$255
BGS 9
$122
$102-$153
BGS 8.5
$92
$71-$112
BGS 8
$71
$51-$92

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
662
Total Graded
91
SGC 10 (Pristine)
134
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
14%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
91(13.7%)
SGC 9.5
134(20.2%)
SGC 9
238(36%)
SGC 8.5
81(12.2%)
SGC 8
74(11.2%)
SGC 7-
44(6.6%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$339
$266 - $424
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$218
$169 - $266
SGC 9 (Mint)
$169
$133 - $206
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$133
$109 - $157
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$109
$85 - $133
SGC 7 (NM)
$85
$61 - $109

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$63
Expected Value
$18 - $77
Value Range
+$26
Potential Gain
-$34
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$90
Expected Value
$-17
Expected Profit
-16%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$208
+$101
PSA 9
35%
$107
+$0
PSA 8
35%
$77
$-30
PSA 7
18%
$65
$-42
PSA 6
7%
$56
$-51
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Negative expected ROI of -16%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet