Back to Search

Flareon

#136 - Fire

Obsidian Flames (2023)

Base

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$53.55
Avg Sale Price
$42.53 - $61.27
Price Range
6
Recent Sales

Price History (Last 60 Days)

Nov 30Dec 2Dec 23Jan 4Jan 13Jan 23$42$48$54$60$66
  • Average
  • Sale Price
TitlePriceDateLink
2023 Obsidian Flames Flareon Base #/50$46.581/23/2026View
2023 Obsidian Flames Flareon Base #/50$42.531/13/2026View
2023 Obsidian Flames Flareon Base #/50$55.261/4/2026View
2023 Obsidian Flames Flareon Base #/50$61.2712/23/2025View
2023 Obsidian Flames Flareon Base #/50$55.0712/2/2025View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 515 (35.5%)
BGS: 935 (64.5%)
Market Preference:BGS Dominant

BGS is the preferred grading service for this card. BGS 9.5s may command premium prices.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
515
Total Graded
103
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
231
PSA 9 (Mint)
20.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
103
20.0%
PSA 9
231
44.9%
PSA 8.5
41
8.0%
PSA 8
61
11.8%
PSA 7
51
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
-13
-2.5%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
935
Total Graded
6
BGS 10 (Black Label)
222
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
23.7%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
6
0.6%
BGS 10(Pristine)
25
2.7%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
222
23.7%
BGS 9(Mint)
342
36.6%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
127
13.6%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
98
10.5%
BGS 7.5-
115
12.3%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$904
$678-$1356
BGS 10
$452
$339-$565
BGS 9.5
$226
$170-$283
BGS 9
$136
$113-$170
BGS 8.5
$102
$79-$124
BGS 8
$79
$57-$102

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
673
Total Graded
83
SGC 10 (Pristine)
147
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
12%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
83(12.3%)
SGC 9.5
147(21.8%)
SGC 9
253(37.6%)
SGC 8.5
93(13.8%)
SGC 8
74(11%)
SGC 7-
23(3.4%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$375
$295 - $469
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$241
$188 - $295
SGC 9 (Mint)
$188
$147 - $228
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$147
$121 - $174
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$121
$94 - $147
SGC 7 (NM)
$94
$67 - $121

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$66
Expected Value
$19 - $80
Value Range
+$27
Potential Gain
-$35
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$94
Expected Value
$-15
Expected Profit
-13%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$216
+$107
PSA 9
35%
$111
+$2
PSA 8
35%
$80
$-29
PSA 7
18%
$68
$-41
PSA 6
7%
$59
$-50
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Negative expected ROI of -13%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet