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Stephen Curry

#30 - Golden State Warriors

2024-25 Flawless Basketball (2025)

Base

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$44.72
Avg Sale Price
$35.36 - $54.48
Price Range
8
Recent Sales

Price History (Last 60 Days)

Dec 5Dec 14Dec 22Dec 22Jan 4Jan 15Jan 19Jan 25$35$40$45$50$55
  • Average
  • Sale Price
TitlePriceDateLink
2025 2024-25 Flawless Basketball Stephen Curry Base #/50$50.581/25/2026View
2025 2024-25 Flawless Basketball Stephen Curry Base #/50$48.421/19/2026View
2025 2024-25 Flawless Basketball Stephen Curry Base #/50$37.171/15/2026View
2025 2024-25 Flawless Basketball Stephen Curry Base #/50$48.241/4/2026View
2025 2024-25 Flawless Basketball Stephen Curry Base #/50$35.3612/22/2025View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 560 (46.2%)
BGS: 653 (53.8%)
Market Preference:Evenly Split

Both grading services are popular for this card. Choose based on your preference.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
560
Total Graded
84
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
196
PSA 9 (Mint)
15.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
84
15.0%
PSA 9
196
35.0%
PSA 8.5
44
7.9%
PSA 8
67
12.0%
PSA 7
56
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
69
12.3%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
653
Total Graded
4
BGS 10 (Black Label)
133
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
20.4%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
4
0.6%
BGS 10(Pristine)
18
2.8%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
133
20.4%
BGS 9(Mint)
241
36.9%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
91
13.9%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
78
11.9%
BGS 7.5-
88
13.5%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$1,416
$1062-$2124
BGS 10
$708
$531-$885
BGS 9.5
$354
$266-$443
BGS 9
$212
$177-$266
BGS 8.5
$159
$124-$195
BGS 8
$124
$89-$159

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
324
Total Graded
51
SGC 10 (Pristine)
74
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
16%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
51(15.7%)
SGC 9.5
74(22.8%)
SGC 9
127(39.2%)
SGC 8.5
36(11.1%)
SGC 8
33(10.2%)
SGC 7-
3(0.9%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$157
$123 - $196
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$101
$78 - $123
SGC 9 (Mint)
$78
$62 - $95
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$62
$50 - $73
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$50
$39 - $62
SGC 7 (NM)
$39
$28 - $50

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$55
Expected Value
$16 - $67
Value Range
+$22
Potential Gain
-$29
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$68
Expected Value
$-32
Expected Profit
-32%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$157
+$57
PSA 9
35%
$80
$-20
PSA 8
35%
$58
$-42
PSA 7
18%
$49
$-51
PSA 6
7%
$42
$-58
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Negative expected ROI of -32%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet