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Chet Holmgren card

Chet Holmgren

#2 - Oklahoma City Thunder

2024-25 Flawless Basketball (2025)

Base

Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$351.55
Avg Sale Price
$0.00 - $600.00
Price Range
9
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
0.0%
1 sales tracked
Mar 16$-10$-5$0$5$10
$0
Low
$352
Average
$0
High
0
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2024-25 Flawless Chet Holmgren Shade Signatures Auto #FSS-CHT (07/25) - JSY #$289.953/15/2026View
CHET HOLMGREN 2024-25 FLAWLESS SHADE SIGNATURES THUNDER AUTO 14/25$299.993/15/2026View
2024-25 Flawless Chet Holmgren Flawless Patch Autographs Auto #FPA-CHT (04/25)$599.993/15/2026View
2024-25 FLAWLESS AUTO CHET HOLMGREN SIGNED AUTOGRAPH EXCELLENCE SILVER /25$224.003/15/2026View
2024-25 Panini Flawless Triple Patch /25 SGA Jalen Williams Chet Holmgren$0.003/16/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 560 (45.1%)
BGS: 681 (54.9%)
Market Preference:Evenly Split

Both grading services are popular for this card. Choose based on your preference.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
560
Total Graded
84
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
251
PSA 9 (Mint)
15.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
84
15.0%
PSA 9
251
44.8%
PSA 8.5
44
7.9%
PSA 8
67
12.0%
PSA 7
56
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
14
2.5%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
681
Total Graded
5
BGS 10 (Black Label)
167
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
24.5%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
5
0.7%
BGS 10(Pristine)
14
2.1%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
167
24.5%
BGS 9(Mint)
239
35.1%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
82
12.0%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
79
11.6%
BGS 7.5-
95
14.0%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$568
$426-$852
BGS 10
$284
$213-$355
BGS 9.5
$142
$107-$178
BGS 9
$85
$71-$107
BGS 8.5
$64
$50-$78
BGS 8
$50
$36-$64

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
331
Total Graded
40
SGC 10 (Pristine)
67
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
12%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
40(12.1%)
SGC 9.5
67(20.2%)
SGC 9
116(35%)
SGC 8.5
40(12.1%)
SGC 8
34(10.3%)
SGC 7-
34(10.3%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$302
$238 - $378
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$194
$151 - $238
SGC 9 (Mint)
$151
$119 - $184
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$119
$97 - $140
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$97
$76 - $119
SGC 7 (NM)
$76
$54 - $97

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$431
Expected Value
$123 - $527
Value Range
+$176
Potential Gain
-$229
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$536
Expected Value
+$129
Expected Profit
+32%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$1230
+$823
PSA 9
35%
$633
+$226
PSA 8
35%
$457
+$50
PSA 7
18%
$387
$-20
PSA 6
7%
$334
$-73
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Positive expected ROI of 32%. Grading is likely to add value, especially if the card achieves a 10 or better.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

Community Sentiment

How community odds have shifted over time for active predictions on this card.

Will Chet Holmgren PSA 10 average sale price increase by 15%+ in the next 30 days?

Sentiment data will appear as votes come in

Partner Market Odds

Live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi for NBA events that may impact card values.

Partner data from Polymarket & Kalshi. SlabdeX does not facilitate external trading.