Kevin Durant
#35 - Phoenix Suns
2024-25 Flawless Basketball (2025)
BaseUnnumbered Card
Print run unknown
0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced
Model A: Deterministic
Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A
Model B: Bayesian
Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.
Confidence Score
Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 560 (44.6%)
BGS: 695 (55.4%)
Market Preference:Evenly Split
Both grading services are popular for this card. Choose based on your preference.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
560
Total Graded
84
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
196
PSA 9 (Mint)
15.0%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
84
15.0%
PSA 9
196
35.0%
PSA 8.5
44
7.9%
PSA 8
67
12.0%
PSA 7
56
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
69
12.3%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
695
Total Graded
4
BGS 10 (Black Label)
184
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
26.5%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
4
0.6%
BGS 10(Pristine)
20
2.9%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
184
26.5%
BGS 9(Mint)
258
37.1%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
98
14.1%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
79
11.4%
BGS 7.5-
52
7.5%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$744
$558-$1116
BGS 10
$372
$279-$465
BGS 9.5
$186
$140-$233
BGS 9
$112
$93-$140
BGS 8.5
$84
$65-$102
BGS 8
$65
$47-$84
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
383
Total Graded
45
SGC 10 (Pristine)
93
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
12%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
45(11.7%)
SGC 9.5
93(24.3%)
SGC 9
146(38.1%)
SGC 8.5
50(13.1%)
SGC 8
46(12%)
SGC 7-
3(0.8%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$375
$295 - $469
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$241
$188 - $295
SGC 9 (Mint)
$188
$147 - $228
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$147
$121 - $174
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$121
$94 - $147
SGC 7 (NM)
$94
$67 - $121
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$374
Expected Value
$107 - $457
Value Range
+$152
Potential Gain
-$198
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$465
Expected Value
+$105
Expected Profit
+29%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Recommended
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$1067
+$707
PSA 9
35%
$549
+$189
PSA 8
35%
$396
+$36
PSA 7
18%
$335
$-25
PSA 6
7%
$290
$-70
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better
Positive expected ROI of 29%. Grading is likely to add value, especially if the card achieves a 10 or better.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.