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Israel Adesanya card

Israel Adesanya

#3 - Middleweight

2024 Topps UFC Finest (2024)

Base

Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$3.07
Avg Sale Price
$0.99 - $15.00
Price Range
25
Recent Sales
TitlePriceDateLink
2024 Topps Finest UFC Base Singles (Pick Your Card - Complete Your Set)$0.993/15/2026View
2024 Topps Finest UFC Base Singles (Pick Your Card - Complete Your Set) A21$1.993/15/2026View
2024 Topps Finest UFC Common Base and Refractor 1 - 100 - COMPLETE YOUR SET$0.993/15/2026View
2024 Topps Finest UFC Base w/ Rookies - Complete Your Set 1-200$1.293/15/2026View
2024 Topps Finest UFC Chaos #CHA-9 Merab Dvalishvili$0.993/15/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,575 (66.3%)
BGS: 800 (33.7%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
1,575
Total Graded
315
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
551
PSA 9 (Mint)
20.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
315
20.0%
PSA 9
551
35.0%
PSA 8.5
126
8.0%
PSA 8
189
12.0%
PSA 7
157
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
111
7.0%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
800
Total Graded
5
BGS 10 (Black Label)
160
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
20.0%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
5
0.6%
BGS 10(Pristine)
16
2.0%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
160
20.0%
BGS 9(Mint)
280
35.0%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
96
12.0%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
90
11.3%
BGS 7.5-
153
19.1%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$864
$648-$1296
BGS 10
$432
$324-$540
BGS 9.5
$216
$162-$270
BGS 9
$130
$108-$162
BGS 8.5
$97
$76-$119
BGS 8
$76
$54-$97

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
518
Total Graded
70
SGC 10 (Pristine)
111
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
14%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
70(13.5%)
SGC 9.5
111(21.4%)
SGC 9
194(37.5%)
SGC 8.5
70(13.5%)
SGC 8
59(11.4%)
SGC 7-
14(2.7%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$193
$152 - $242
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$124
$97 - $152
SGC 9 (Mint)
$97
$76 - $117
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$76
$62 - $90
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$62
$48 - $76
SGC 7 (NM)
$48
$35 - $62

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$4
Expected Value
$1 - $5
Value Range
+$2
Potential Gain
-$2
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$5
Expected Value
$-53
Expected Profit
-91%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$11
$-47
PSA 9
35%
$6
$-52
PSA 8
35%
$4
$-54
PSA 7
18%
$3
$-55
PSA 6
7%
$3
$-55

Negative expected ROI of -91%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

Community Sentiment

How community odds have shifted over time for active predictions on this card.

Will Israel Adesanya BGS 9.5 to PSA 10 crossover success rate exceed 40%?

Sentiment data will appear as votes come in

Partner Market Odds

Live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi for UFC events that may impact card values.

Partner data from Polymarket & Kalshi. SlabdeX does not facilitate external trading.