Conor McGregor
#11 - Lightweight
2023 Prizm UFC (2023)
BaseUnnumbered Card
Print run unknown
0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced
Model A: Deterministic
Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A
Model B: Bayesian
Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.
Confidence Score
Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0
$6.54
Avg Sale Price
$0.99 - $34.00
Price Range
18
Recent Sales
| Title | Price | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 Panini Prizm UFC MMA BASE & Inserts Complete Your Set Horizontal & Vertical | $0.99 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| 2023 Panini Prizm UFC MMA BASE with Rookies You Pick the Card - READ | $1.10 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| 2023 Panini Prizm UFC Base 1 - 200 - COMPLETE YOUR SET - PYC | $0.99 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| 2023 Panini Prizm UFC - Base #125 Conor McGregor | $2.00 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| 2023 Panini Prizm UFC Islam Makhachev Base and Fearless | $1.55 | 3/15/2026 | View |
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,582 (64.2%)
BGS: 884 (35.8%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant
PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
1,582
Total Graded
268
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
664
PSA 9 (Mint)
16.9%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
268
16.9%
PSA 9
664
42.0%
PSA 8.5
126
8.0%
PSA 8
189
11.9%
PSA 7
158
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
51
3.2%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
884
Total Graded
5
BGS 10 (Black Label)
210
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
23.8%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
5
0.6%
BGS 10(Pristine)
21
2.4%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
210
23.8%
BGS 9(Mint)
313
35.4%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
110
12.4%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
92
10.4%
BGS 7.5-
133
15.0%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$720
$540-$1080
BGS 10
$360
$270-$450
BGS 9.5
$180
$135-$225
BGS 9
$108
$90-$135
BGS 8.5
$81
$63-$99
BGS 8
$63
$45-$81
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
650
Total Graded
78
SGC 10 (Pristine)
150
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
12%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
78(12%)
SGC 9.5
150(23.1%)
SGC 9
232(35.7%)
SGC 8.5
83(12.8%)
SGC 8
73(11.2%)
SGC 7-
34(5.2%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$266
$209 - $333
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$171
$133 - $209
SGC 9 (Mint)
$133
$105 - $162
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$105
$86 - $124
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$86
$67 - $105
SGC 7 (NM)
$67
$48 - $86
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$8
Expected Value
$2 - $10
Value Range
+$3
Potential Gain
-$4
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$10
Expected Value
$-52
Expected Profit
-84%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$23
$-39
PSA 9
35%
$12
$-50
PSA 8
35%
$9
$-53
PSA 7
18%
$7
$-55
PSA 6
7%
$6
$-56
Negative expected ROI of -84%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.
Spotted By Informants
Community IntelInstagramMcGregor Gold /10 from 2023 Prizm UFC. First confirmed sighting outside of Panini HQ.
2/4/2026
Evidence