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Luke Skywalker card

Luke Skywalker

#1 - Rebel Alliance

2025 Topps Star Wars Hyperspace (2025)

Base

Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$4.09
Avg Sale Price
$0.72 - $29.99
Price Range
29
Recent Sales
TitlePriceDateLink
[DIGITAL] Topps Star Wars - Hyperspace 2024 25 W1 - Base White Chrome - Pick$0.723/15/2026View
[DIGITAL] Topps Star Wars - Hyperspace 2024 25 W1 - Base Blue Refractor - Pick$0.913/15/2026View
[DIGITAL] Topps Star Wars - Hyperspace 2024 25 W1 - Base Red Nebulae - Pick$0.913/15/2026View
Topps Star Wars Card Trader 2025 Topps Star Wars Hyperspace Refractor Base Rare$0.993/15/2026View
[DIGITAL] Topps Star Wars - Hyperspace 2024 25 W1 - Base Green Pulsar - Pick$1.643/15/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
PSA: 1,596 (88.2%)
BGS: 214 (11.8%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
1,596
Total Graded
335
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
654
PSA 9 (Mint)
21.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
335
21.0%
PSA 9
654
41.0%
PSA 8.5
127
8.0%
PSA 8
191
12.0%
PSA 7
159
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
3
0.2%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
214
Total Graded
2
BGS 10 (Black Label)
52
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
24.3%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
2
0.9%
BGS 10(Pristine)
6
2.8%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
52
24.3%
BGS 9(Mint)
83
38.8%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
35
16.4%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
31
14.5%
BGS 7.5-
5
2.3%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$1,104
$828-$1656
BGS 10
$552
$414-$690
BGS 9.5
$276
$207-$345
BGS 9
$166
$138-$207
BGS 8.5
$124
$97-$152
BGS 8
$97
$69-$124

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
284
Total Graded
47
SGC 10 (Pristine)
57
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
17%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
47(16.5%)
SGC 9.5
57(20.1%)
SGC 9
114(40.1%)
SGC 8.5
37(13%)
SGC 8
26(9.2%)
SGC 7-
3(1.1%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$193
$152 - $242
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$124
$97 - $152
SGC 9 (Mint)
$97
$76 - $117
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$76
$62 - $90
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$62
$48 - $76
SGC 7 (NM)
$48
$35 - $62

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$5
Expected Value
$1 - $6
Value Range
+$2
Potential Gain
-$3
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$6
Expected Value
$-53
Expected Profit
-90%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$14
$-45
PSA 9
35%
$7
$-52
PSA 8
35%
$5
$-54
PSA 7
18%
$4
$-55
PSA 6
7%
$4
$-55

Negative expected ROI of -90%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

Community Sentiment

How community odds have shifted over time for active predictions on this card.

Will Luke Skywalker BGS 9.5 to PSA 10 crossover success rate exceed 40%?

Sentiment data will appear as votes come in