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Chewbacca card

Chewbacca

#5 - Rebel Alliance

2024 Topps Star Wars Signature Series (2024)

Base

Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$7.40
Avg Sale Price
$5.36 - $11.43
Price Range
15
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
-11.6%
15 sales tracked
Jan 19Jan 23Jan 24Jan 25Jan 31Jan 31Feb 2Feb 17Feb 18Feb 19Feb 22Feb 22Feb 27Feb 28Mar 11$4.753$6.753$8.753$12.036999999999999Avg: $7
$5
Low
$7
Average
$11
High
-1
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2024 2024 Topps Star Wars Signature Series Chewbacca Base$6.303/11/2026View
2024 2024 Topps Star Wars Signature Series Chewbacca Base SGC 10$9.812/28/2026View
2024 2024 Topps Star Wars Signature Series Chewbacca Base PSA 10$7.522/27/2026View
2024 2024 Topps Star Wars Signature Series Chewbacca Base PSA 9$7.812/22/2026View
2024 2024 Topps Star Wars Signature Series Chewbacca Base PSA 9$6.802/22/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,610 (79.9%)
BGS: 406 (20.1%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
1,610
Total Graded
241
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
563
PSA 9 (Mint)
15.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
241
15.0%
PSA 9
563
35.0%
PSA 8.5
128
8.0%
PSA 8
193
12.0%
PSA 7
161
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
196
12.2%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
406
Total Graded
4
BGS 10 (Black Label)
87
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
21.4%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
4
1.0%
BGS 10(Pristine)
14
3.4%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
87
21.4%
BGS 9(Mint)
148
36.5%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
54
13.3%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
51
12.6%
BGS 7.5-
48
11.8%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$1,168
$876-$1752
BGS 10
$584
$438-$730
BGS 9.5
$292
$219-$365
BGS 9
$175
$146-$219
BGS 8.5
$131
$102-$161
BGS 8
$102
$73-$131

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
556
Total Graded
72
SGC 10 (Pristine)
127
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
13%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
72(12.9%)
SGC 9.5
127(22.8%)
SGC 9
215(38.7%)
SGC 8.5
67(12.1%)
SGC 8
65(11.7%)
SGC 7-
10(1.8%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$484
$381 - $606
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$311
$242 - $381
SGC 9 (Mint)
$242
$190 - $294
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$190
$156 - $225
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$156
$121 - $190
SGC 7 (NM)
$121
$87 - $156

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$9
Expected Value
$3 - $11
Value Range
+$4
Potential Gain
-$5
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$11
Expected Value
$-51
Expected Profit
-82%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$26
$-36
PSA 9
35%
$13
$-49
PSA 8
35%
$10
$-52
PSA 7
18%
$8
$-54
PSA 6
7%
$7
$-55

Negative expected ROI of -82%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

Community Sentiment

How community odds have shifted over time for active predictions on this card.

Will Chewbacca PSA 10 average sale price increase by 15%+ in the next 30 days?

Sentiment data will appear as votes come in