MLB
Elly De La Cruz
#301 - Cincinnati Reds
2024 Topps Series 2 Baseball (2024)
Gold /2024Model A: Deterministic
Print Run2024
Verified Sightings3
Publicly Remaining2021
Model B: Bayesian
Visibility Factor (f)29%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining1438.8
Confidence Score
Low (26/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 20 | Maturity: 6
$123.37
Avg Sale Price
$108.39 - $138.89
Price Range
6
Recent Sales
Price History (Last 60 Days)
- Average
- Sale Price
| Title | Price | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 2024 Topps Series 2 Baseball Elly De La Cruz Gold #/50 | $115.06 | 1/16/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Series 2 Baseball Elly De La Cruz Gold #/50 | $132.16 | 1/11/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Series 2 Baseball Elly De La Cruz Gold #/50 | $138.89 | 1/7/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Series 2 Baseball Elly De La Cruz Gold #/50 | $108.65 | 1/7/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Series 2 Baseball Elly De La Cruz Gold #/50 | $108.39 | 12/10/2025 | View |
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,526 (77.5%)
BGS: 444 (22.5%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant
PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
1,526
Total Graded
320
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
701
PSA 9 (Mint)
21.0%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
320
21.0%
PSA 9
701
45.9%
PSA 8.5
122
8.0%
PSA 8
183
12.0%
PSA 7
152
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
-74
-4.8%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
444
Total Graded
3
BGS 10 (Black Label)
132
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
29.7%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
3
0.7%
BGS 10(Pristine)
12
2.7%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
132
29.7%
BGS 9(Mint)
159
35.8%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
57
12.8%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
48
10.8%
BGS 7.5-
33
7.4%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$960
$720-$1440
BGS 10
$480
$360-$600
BGS 9.5
$240
$180-$300
BGS 9
$144
$120-$180
BGS 8.5
$108
$84-$132
BGS 8
$84
$60-$108
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
536
Total Graded
63
SGC 10 (Pristine)
126
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
12%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
63(11.8%)
SGC 9.5
126(23.5%)
SGC 9
215(40.1%)
SGC 8.5
68(12.7%)
SGC 8
61(11.4%)
SGC 7-
3(0.6%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$266
$209 - $333
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$171
$133 - $209
SGC 9 (Mint)
$133
$105 - $162
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$105
$86 - $124
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$86
$67 - $105
SGC 7 (NM)
$67
$48 - $86
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$151
Expected Value
$43 - $185
Value Range
+$62
Potential Gain
-$80
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$188
Expected Value
+$10
Expected Profit
+5%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Consider Carefully
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$432
+$254
PSA 9
35%
$222
+$44
PSA 8
35%
$160
$-18
PSA 7
18%
$136
$-42
PSA 6
7%
$117
$-61
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better
Marginal ROI of 5%. Consider grading only if you need authentication or plan to hold long-term. Break-even requires 10.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.