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Bobby Witt Jr. card
MLB

Bobby Witt Jr.

#450 - Kansas City Royals

2024 Topps Series 2 Baseball (2024)

Gold /2024

Cards Remaining

Good availability

Gold
2024
Total Print Run
4
Documented
2020
Still Available
4 seen (0.2%)2020 remaining (99.8%)

4 of 2024 copies have been documented.

2020 copies could still be pulled from packs!

Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print Run2024
Verified Sightings4
Publicly Remaining2020

Model B: Bayesian

Visibility Factor (f)29%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining1438.8

Confidence Score

Low (16/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 10 | Maturity: 6

Market Sales Data

$10.84
Avg Sale Price
$0.00 - $80.00
Price Range
32
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
0.0%
3 sales tracked
Mar 16Mar 16Mar 16$-10$-5$0$5$10
$0
Low
$11
Average
$0
High
0
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2024 Topps Series Update US1 - US175: You Pick Complete Your Set$0.993/15/2026View
2024 Topps Baseball Series 2 #351-700 Base Cards YOU PICK Complete Your Set!$0.993/15/2026View
2024 TOPPS SERIES 2 INSERTS ~ YOU PICK Complete Set ~ 1989, City to City, Chrome$0.993/15/2026View
2024 Topps Series 2 Baseball Autos, Relics, Parallels & Inserts - Free Shipping$1.983/15/2026View
2024 TOPPS SERIES 1 INSERTS ~ YOU PICK Complete Set ~ 1989, Blueprint, The Kid$0.993/15/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,526 (76.4%)
BGS: 472 (23.6%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
1,526
Total Graded
320
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
625
PSA 9 (Mint)
21.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
320
21.0%
PSA 9
625
41.0%
PSA 8.5
122
8.0%
PSA 8
183
12.0%
PSA 7
152
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
2
0.1%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
472
Total Graded
4
BGS 10 (Black Label)
116
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
24.6%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
4
0.8%
BGS 10(Pristine)
9
1.9%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
116
24.6%
BGS 9(Mint)
197
41.7%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
68
14.4%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
49
10.4%
BGS 7.5-
29
6.1%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$1,312
$984-$1968
BGS 10
$656
$492-$820
BGS 9.5
$328
$246-$410
BGS 9
$197
$164-$246
BGS 8.5
$148
$115-$180
BGS 8
$115
$82-$148

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
574
Total Graded
72
SGC 10 (Pristine)
118
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
13%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
72(12.5%)
SGC 9.5
118(20.6%)
SGC 9
204(35.5%)
SGC 8.5
72(12.5%)
SGC 8
61(10.6%)
SGC 7-
47(8.2%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$412
$323 - $515
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$265
$206 - $323
SGC 9 (Mint)
$206
$162 - $250
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$162
$132 - $191
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$132
$103 - $162
SGC 7 (NM)
$103
$74 - $132

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$13
Expected Value
$4 - $16
Value Range
+$5
Potential Gain
-$7
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$17
Expected Value
$-49
Expected Profit
-74%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$38
$-28
PSA 9
35%
$20
$-46
PSA 8
35%
$14
$-52
PSA 7
18%
$12
$-54
PSA 6
7%
$10
$-56

Negative expected ROI of -74%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

ImageSerialSourceDateLink
#182/2024PSA1/26/2026View
#1712/2024PSA1/26/2026View
#1825/2024PSA1/26/2026View
#928/2024PSA1/26/2026View

Community Sentiment

How community odds have shifted over time for active predictions on this card.

Will the total graded population of Bobby Witt Jr. exceed current count by 20% within 60 days?

Sentiment data will appear as votes come in

Will Bobby Witt Jr. PSA 10 average sale price increase by 15%+ in the next 30 days?

Sentiment data will appear as votes come in