MLB
Travis Bazzana
#BD-1 - Cleveland Guardians
2024 Bowman Draft Baseball (2024)
1st Bowman Gold /50Model A: Deterministic
Print Run50
Verified Sightings2
Publicly Remaining48
Model B: Bayesian
Visibility Factor (f)30%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining35.4
Confidence Score
Low (31/100)
Coverage: 4 | Sources: 20 | Maturity: 7
$167.60
Avg Sale Price
$142.57 - $188.44
Price Range
7
Recent Sales
Price History (Last 60 Days)
- Average
- Sale Price
| Title | Price | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 2024 Bowman Draft Baseball Travis Bazzana 1st Bowman Gold #/50 | $188.44 | 1/17/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Bowman Draft Baseball Travis Bazzana 1st Bowman Gold #/50 | $142.57 | 1/17/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Bowman Draft Baseball Travis Bazzana 1st Bowman Gold #/50 | $176.38 | 1/12/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Bowman Draft Baseball Travis Bazzana 1st Bowman Gold #/50 | $184.69 | 1/8/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Bowman Draft Baseball Travis Bazzana 1st Bowman Gold #/50 | $179.82 | 1/6/2026 | View |
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 531 (52.3%)
BGS: 485 (47.7%)
Market Preference:Evenly Split
Both grading services are popular for this card. Choose based on your preference.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
531
Total Graded
84
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
217
PSA 9 (Mint)
15.8%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
84
15.8%
PSA 9
217
40.9%
PSA 8.5
42
7.9%
PSA 8
63
11.9%
PSA 7
53
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
30
5.6%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
485
Total Graded
2
BGS 10 (Black Label)
124
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
25.6%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
2
0.4%
BGS 10(Pristine)
16
3.3%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
124
25.6%
BGS 9(Mint)
206
42.5%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
76
15.7%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
56
11.5%
BGS 7.5-
5
1.0%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$1,400
$1050-$2100
BGS 10
$700
$525-$875
BGS 9.5
$350
$263-$438
BGS 9
$210
$175-$263
BGS 8.5
$158
$122-$193
BGS 8
$122
$88-$158
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
585
Total Graded
85
SGC 10 (Pristine)
132
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
15%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
85(14.5%)
SGC 9.5
132(22.6%)
SGC 9
219(37.4%)
SGC 8.5
70(12%)
SGC 8
61(10.4%)
SGC 7-
18(3.1%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$448
$352 - $560
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$288
$224 - $352
SGC 9 (Mint)
$224
$176 - $272
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$176
$144 - $208
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$144
$112 - $176
SGC 7 (NM)
$112
$80 - $144
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$205
Expected Value
$59 - $251
Value Range
+$84
Potential Gain
-$109
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$256
Expected Value
+$33
Expected Profit
+15%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Consider Carefully
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$587
+$364
PSA 9
35%
$302
+$79
PSA 8
35%
$218
$-5
PSA 7
18%
$184
$-39
PSA 6
7%
$159
$-64
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better
Marginal ROI of 15%. Consider grading only if you need authentication or plan to hold long-term. Break-even requires 10.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.