MLB
Charlie Condon
#BD-2 - Colorado Rockies
2024 Bowman Draft Baseball (2024)
1st Bowman Chrome Auto /150Cards Remaining
Good availability
150
Total Print Run
10
Documented
140
Still Available
10 seen (6.7%)140 remaining (93.3%)
10 of 150 copies have been documented.
140 copies could still be pulled from packs!
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced
Model A: Deterministic
Print Run150
Verified Sightings10
Publicly Remaining140
Model B: Bayesian
Visibility Factor (f)30%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining104.9
Confidence Score
Medium (43/100)
Coverage: 7 | Sources: 30 | Maturity: 7
$495.63
Avg Sale Price
$349.07 - $608.52
Price Range
7
Recent Sales
eBay Price History
Last 60 days of sales data+10.2%
7 sales tracked$349
Low
$496
Average
$609
High
+44
Change
| Title | Price | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 2024 Bowman Draft Baseball Charlie Condon 1st Bowman Chrome Auto PSA 10 | $608.52 | 3/8/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Bowman Draft Baseball Charlie Condon 1st Bowman Chrome Auto BGS 9.5 | $471.90 | 3/8/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Bowman Draft Baseball Charlie Condon 1st Bowman Chrome Auto PSA 10 | $538.97 | 2/27/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Bowman Draft Baseball Charlie Condon 1st Bowman Chrome Auto PSA 10 | $570.39 | 1/27/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Bowman Draft Baseball Charlie Condon 1st Bowman Chrome Auto BGS 9.5 | $502.26 | 1/26/2026 | View |
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,534 (75.9%)
BGS: 486 (24.1%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant
PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
1,534
Total Graded
291
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
598
PSA 9 (Mint)
19.0%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
291
19.0%
PSA 9
598
39.0%
PSA 8.5
122
8.0%
PSA 8
184
12.0%
PSA 7
153
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
64
4.2%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
486
Total Graded
3
BGS 10 (Black Label)
133
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
27.4%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
3
0.6%
BGS 10(Pristine)
15
3.1%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
133
27.4%
BGS 9(Mint)
176
36.2%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
64
13.2%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
49
10.1%
BGS 7.5-
46
9.5%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$1,488
$1116-$2232
BGS 10
$744
$558-$930
BGS 9.5
$372
$279-$465
BGS 9
$223
$186-$279
BGS 8.5
$167
$130-$205
BGS 8
$130
$93-$167
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
602
Total Graded
77
SGC 10 (Pristine)
145
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
13%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
77(12.8%)
SGC 9.5
145(24.1%)
SGC 9
234(38.9%)
SGC 8.5
82(13.6%)
SGC 8
61(10.1%)
SGC 7-
3(0.5%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$484
$381 - $606
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$311
$242 - $381
SGC 9 (Mint)
$242
$190 - $294
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$190
$156 - $225
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$156
$121 - $190
SGC 7 (NM)
$121
$87 - $156
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$607
Expected Value
$173 - $743
Value Range
+$248
Potential Gain
-$322
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$755
Expected Value
+$204
Expected Profit
+37%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Recommended
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$1735
+$1184
PSA 9
35%
$892
+$341
PSA 8
35%
$644
+$93
PSA 7
18%
$545
$-6
PSA 6
7%
$471
$-80
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better
Positive expected ROI of 37%. Grading is likely to add value, especially if the card achieves a 10 or better.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.