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MLB

Mookie Betts

#50 - Los Angeles Dodgers

2024 Topps Chrome Baseball (2024)

Orange Refractor /25

Model A: Deterministic

Print Run25
Verified Sightings5
Publicly Remaining20

Model B: Bayesian

Visibility Factor (f)32%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining15.6

Confidence Score

Medium (57/100)
Coverage: 20 | Sources: 30 | Maturity: 7

Market Sales Data

$52.75
Avg Sale Price
$40.14 - $62.47
Price Range
12
Recent Sales

Price History (Last 60 Days)

Nov 30Nov 30Dec 1Dec 7Dec 17Dec 21Dec 24Dec 25Jan 5Jan 6Jan 9Jan 16$35$42$49$56$63
  • Average
  • Sale Price
TitlePriceDateLink
2024 2024 Topps Chrome Baseball Mookie Betts Orange Refractor #/50$47.311/16/2026View
2024 2024 Topps Chrome Baseball Mookie Betts Orange Refractor #/50$41.521/9/2026View
2024 2024 Topps Chrome Baseball Mookie Betts Orange Refractor #/50$40.141/6/2026View
2024 2024 Topps Chrome Baseball Mookie Betts Orange Refractor #/50$62.471/5/2026View
2024 2024 Topps Chrome Baseball Mookie Betts Orange Refractor #/50$53.9012/25/2025View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 503 (66.7%)
BGS: 251 (33.3%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
503
Total Graded
90
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
241
PSA 9 (Mint)
17.9%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
90
17.9%
PSA 9
241
47.9%
PSA 8.5
40
8.0%
PSA 8
60
11.9%
PSA 7
50
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
-18
-3.6%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
251
Total Graded
3
BGS 10 (Black Label)
89
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
35.5%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
3
1.2%
BGS 10(Pristine)
5
2.0%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
89
35.5%
BGS 9(Mint)
85
33.9%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
29
11.6%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
35
13.9%
BGS 7.5-
5
2.0%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$808
$606-$1212
BGS 10
$404
$303-$505
BGS 9.5
$202
$152-$253
BGS 9
$121
$101-$152
BGS 8.5
$91
$71-$111
BGS 8
$71
$51-$91

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
219
Total Graded
26
SGC 10 (Pristine)
43
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
12%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
26(11.9%)
SGC 9.5
43(19.6%)
SGC 9
99(45.2%)
SGC 8.5
26(11.9%)
SGC 8
22(10%)
SGC 7-
3(1.4%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$302
$238 - $378
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$194
$151 - $238
SGC 9 (Mint)
$151
$119 - $184
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$119
$97 - $140
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$97
$76 - $119
SGC 7 (NM)
$76
$54 - $97

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$65
Expected Value
$18 - $79
Value Range
+$26
Potential Gain
-$34
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$81
Expected Value
$-27
Expected Profit
-25%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$185
+$77
PSA 9
35%
$95
$-13
PSA 8
35%
$69
$-39
PSA 7
18%
$58
$-50
PSA 6
7%
$50
$-58
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Negative expected ROI of -25%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

ImageSerialSourceDateLink
#6/25YOUTUBE1/26/2026View
#1/25MANUAL1/26/2026
#23/25PSA1/26/2026View
#15/25EBAY1/26/2026View
#2/25EBAY1/26/2026View