MLB
Jac Caglianone
#BD-5 - Kansas City Royals
2024 Bowman Draft Baseball (2024)
1st Bowman Orange /25Cards Remaining
Good availability
25
Total Print Run
7
Documented
18
Still Available
7 seen (28.0%)18 remaining (72.0%)
7 of 25 copies have been documented.
18 copies could still be pulled from packs!
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced
Model A: Deterministic
Print Run25
Verified Sightings7
Publicly Remaining18
Model B: Bayesian
Visibility Factor (f)30%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining14.8
Confidence Score
Medium (65/100)
Coverage: 28 | Sources: 30 | Maturity: 7
$5016.33
Avg Sale Price
$0.00 - $15000.00
Price Range
6
Recent Sales
eBay Price History
Last 60 days of sales data0.0%
1 sales tracked$0
Low
$5016
Average
$0
High
0
Change
| Title | Price | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 1st Bowman Draft 🍊 Orange /25 JAC CAGLIANONE #BD8 PSA 9 | $599.00 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| Jac Caglianone 2024 Bowman Draft 1st Draft Night Auto ORANGE REF PSA 9 (2/25)! | $1499.99 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| 13/25 PSA 9 2024 BOWMAN 1st DRAFT #BDC8 JAC CAGLIANONE CHROME ORANGE REFRACTOR | $3000.00 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prosp Auto Orange Wave CPA-JC Jac Caglianone /25 SHARP! | $9999.00 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| 2024 Bowman Draft Jac Caglianone 1st True Orange Chrome Auto /25 PSA 10 | $15000.00 | 3/15/2026 | View |
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 532 (51.9%)
BGS: 493 (48.1%)
Market Preference:Evenly Split
Both grading services are popular for this card. Choose based on your preference.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
532
Total Graded
90
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
250
PSA 9 (Mint)
16.9%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
90
16.9%
PSA 9
250
47.0%
PSA 8.5
42
7.9%
PSA 8
63
11.8%
PSA 7
53
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
-8
-1.5%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
493
Total Graded
4
BGS 10 (Black Label)
141
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
28.6%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
4
0.8%
BGS 10(Pristine)
14
2.8%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
141
28.6%
BGS 9(Mint)
185
37.5%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
72
14.6%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
57
11.6%
BGS 7.5-
20
4.1%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$1,576
$1182-$2364
BGS 10
$788
$591-$985
BGS 9.5
$394
$296-$493
BGS 9
$236
$197-$296
BGS 8.5
$177
$138-$217
BGS 8
$138
$99-$177
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
607
Total Graded
89
SGC 10 (Pristine)
128
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
15%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
89(14.7%)
SGC 9.5
128(21.1%)
SGC 9
214(35.3%)
SGC 8.5
79(13%)
SGC 8
61(10%)
SGC 7-
36(5.9%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$157
$123 - $196
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$101
$78 - $123
SGC 9 (Mint)
$78
$62 - $95
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$62
$50 - $73
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$50
$39 - $62
SGC 7 (NM)
$39
$28 - $50
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$6145
Expected Value
$1756 - $7524
Value Range
+$2508
Potential Gain
-$3261
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$100
Total Cost
$7647
Expected Value
+$2531
Expected Profit
+49%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Recommended
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$50
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$17557
+$12441
PSA 9
35%
$9029
+$3913
PSA 8
35%
$6521
+$1405
PSA 7
18%
$5518
+$402
PSA 6
7%
$4766
$-350
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better
Positive expected ROI of 49%. Grading is likely to add value, especially if the card achieves a 10 or better.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.