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MLB

Konnor Griffin

#BD-10 - Cleveland Guardians

2024 Bowman Draft Baseball (2024)

1st Bowman Gold /50

Model A: Deterministic

Print Run50
Verified Sightings11
Publicly Remaining39

Model B: Bayesian

Visibility Factor (f)30%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining32.2

Confidence Score

Medium (59/100)
Coverage: 22 | Sources: 30 | Maturity: 7

Market Sales Data

$149.42
Avg Sale Price
$106.97 - $188.74
Price Range
8
Recent Sales

Price History (Last 60 Days)

Dec 4Dec 5Dec 6Dec 15Dec 19Jan 2Jan 12Jan 26$100$125$150$175$200
  • Average
  • Sale Price
TitlePriceDateLink
2024 2024 Bowman Draft Baseball Konnor Griffin 1st Bowman Gold #/50$177.361/26/2026View
2024 2024 Bowman Draft Baseball Konnor Griffin 1st Bowman Gold #/50$146.821/12/2026View
2024 2024 Bowman Draft Baseball Konnor Griffin 1st Bowman Gold #/50$114.441/2/2026View
2024 2024 Bowman Draft Baseball Konnor Griffin 1st Bowman Gold #/50$127.9812/19/2025View
2024 2024 Bowman Draft Baseball Konnor Griffin 1st Bowman Gold #/50$188.7412/15/2025View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,531 (75.4%)
BGS: 500 (24.6%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
1,531
Total Graded
244
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
627
PSA 9 (Mint)
15.9%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
244
15.9%
PSA 9
627
41.0%
PSA 8.5
122
8.0%
PSA 8
183
12.0%
PSA 7
153
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
80
5.2%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
500
Total Graded
2
BGS 10 (Black Label)
100
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
20.0%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
2
0.4%
BGS 10(Pristine)
14
2.8%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
100
20.0%
BGS 9(Mint)
195
39.0%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
60
12.0%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
50
10.0%
BGS 7.5-
79
15.8%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$464
$348-$696
BGS 10
$232
$174-$290
BGS 9.5
$116
$87-$145
BGS 9
$70
$58-$87
BGS 8.5
$52
$41-$64
BGS 8
$41
$29-$52

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
618
Total Graded
82
SGC 10 (Pristine)
141
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
13%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
82(13.3%)
SGC 9.5
141(22.8%)
SGC 9
229(37.1%)
SGC 8.5
77(12.5%)
SGC 8
61(9.9%)
SGC 7-
28(4.5%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$193
$152 - $242
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$124
$97 - $152
SGC 9 (Mint)
$97
$76 - $117
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$76
$62 - $90
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$62
$48 - $76
SGC 7 (NM)
$48
$35 - $62

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$183
Expected Value
$52 - $224
Value Range
+$75
Potential Gain
-$97
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$228
Expected Value
+$24
Expected Profit
+12%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Consider Carefully

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$523
+$319
PSA 9
35%
$269
+$65
PSA 8
35%
$194
$-10
PSA 7
18%
$164
$-40
PSA 6
7%
$142
$-62
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Marginal ROI of 12%. Consider grading only if you need authentication or plan to hold long-term. Break-even requires 10.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

ImageSerialSourceDateLink
#42/50YOUTUBE1/26/2026View
#20/50EBAY1/26/2026View
#25/50YOUTUBE1/26/2026View
#44/50YOUTUBE1/26/2026View
#23/50EBAY1/26/2026View
#42/50MANUAL1/26/2026
#18/50YOUTUBE1/26/2026View
#4/50YOUTUBE1/26/2026View
#8/50YOUTUBE1/26/2026View
#34/50EBAY1/26/2026View
#9/50MANUAL1/26/2026