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MLB

Nick Kurtz

#BD-15 - Oakland Athletics

2024 Bowman Draft Baseball (2024)

1st Bowman Chrome Auto /150

Model A: Deterministic

Print Run150
Verified Sightings3
Publicly Remaining147

Model B: Bayesian

Visibility Factor (f)30%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining105.5

Confidence Score

Low (29/100)
Coverage: 2 | Sources: 20 | Maturity: 7

Market Sales Data

$241.22
Avg Sale Price
$195.03 - $289.81
Price Range
7
Recent Sales

Price History (Last 60 Days)

Nov 29Dec 14Dec 16Dec 16Jan 6Jan 14Jan 20$180$210$240$270$300
  • Average
  • Sale Price
TitlePriceDateLink
2024 2024 Bowman Draft Baseball Nick Kurtz 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #/50$195.031/20/2026View
2024 2024 Bowman Draft Baseball Nick Kurtz 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #/50$278.351/14/2026View
2024 2024 Bowman Draft Baseball Nick Kurtz 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #/50$199.041/6/2026View
2024 2024 Bowman Draft Baseball Nick Kurtz 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #/50$266.7112/16/2025View
2024 2024 Bowman Draft Baseball Nick Kurtz 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #/50$220.6112/16/2025View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 534 (51.3%)
BGS: 507 (48.7%)
Market Preference:Evenly Split

Both grading services are popular for this card. Choose based on your preference.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
534
Total Graded
101
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
208
PSA 9 (Mint)
18.9%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
101
18.9%
PSA 9
208
39.0%
PSA 8.5
42
7.9%
PSA 8
64
12.0%
PSA 7
53
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
24
4.5%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
507
Total Graded
3
BGS 10 (Black Label)
108
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
21.3%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
3
0.6%
BGS 10(Pristine)
13
2.6%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
108
21.3%
BGS 9(Mint)
204
40.2%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
67
13.2%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
57
11.2%
BGS 7.5-
55
10.8%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$552
$414-$828
BGS 10
$276
$207-$345
BGS 9.5
$138
$104-$173
BGS 9
$83
$69-$104
BGS 8.5
$62
$48-$76
BGS 8
$48
$35-$62

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
657
Total Graded
94
SGC 10 (Pristine)
154
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
14%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
94(14.3%)
SGC 9.5
154(23.4%)
SGC 9
244(37.1%)
SGC 8.5
89(13.5%)
SGC 8
73(11.1%)
SGC 7-
3(0.5%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$230
$180 - $287
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$148
$115 - $180
SGC 9 (Mint)
$115
$90 - $139
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$90
$74 - $107
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$74
$57 - $90
SGC 7 (NM)
$57
$41 - $74

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$295
Expected Value
$84 - $362
Value Range
+$121
Potential Gain
-$157
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$368
Expected Value
+$72
Expected Profit
+24%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$844
+$548
PSA 9
35%
$434
+$138
PSA 8
35%
$314
+$18
PSA 7
18%
$265
$-31
PSA 6
7%
$229
$-67
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Positive expected ROI of 24%. Grading is likely to add value, especially if the card achieves a 10 or better.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

ImageSerialSourceDateLink
#111/150MANUAL1/26/2026
#106/150PSA1/26/2026View
#133/150MANUAL1/26/2026