MLB
Nick Kurtz
#BD-15 - Oakland Athletics
2024 Bowman Draft Baseball (2024)
1st Bowman Chrome Auto /150Model A: Deterministic
Print Run150
Verified Sightings3
Publicly Remaining147
Model B: Bayesian
Visibility Factor (f)30%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining105.5
Confidence Score
Low (29/100)
Coverage: 2 | Sources: 20 | Maturity: 7
$241.22
Avg Sale Price
$195.03 - $289.81
Price Range
7
Recent Sales
Price History (Last 60 Days)
- Average
- Sale Price
| Title | Price | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 2024 Bowman Draft Baseball Nick Kurtz 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #/50 | $195.03 | 1/20/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Bowman Draft Baseball Nick Kurtz 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #/50 | $278.35 | 1/14/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Bowman Draft Baseball Nick Kurtz 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #/50 | $199.04 | 1/6/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Bowman Draft Baseball Nick Kurtz 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #/50 | $266.71 | 12/16/2025 | View |
| 2024 2024 Bowman Draft Baseball Nick Kurtz 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #/50 | $220.61 | 12/16/2025 | View |
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 534 (51.3%)
BGS: 507 (48.7%)
Market Preference:Evenly Split
Both grading services are popular for this card. Choose based on your preference.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
534
Total Graded
101
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
208
PSA 9 (Mint)
18.9%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
101
18.9%
PSA 9
208
39.0%
PSA 8.5
42
7.9%
PSA 8
64
12.0%
PSA 7
53
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
24
4.5%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
507
Total Graded
3
BGS 10 (Black Label)
108
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
21.3%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
3
0.6%
BGS 10(Pristine)
13
2.6%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
108
21.3%
BGS 9(Mint)
204
40.2%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
67
13.2%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
57
11.2%
BGS 7.5-
55
10.8%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$552
$414-$828
BGS 10
$276
$207-$345
BGS 9.5
$138
$104-$173
BGS 9
$83
$69-$104
BGS 8.5
$62
$48-$76
BGS 8
$48
$35-$62
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
657
Total Graded
94
SGC 10 (Pristine)
154
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
14%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
94(14.3%)
SGC 9.5
154(23.4%)
SGC 9
244(37.1%)
SGC 8.5
89(13.5%)
SGC 8
73(11.1%)
SGC 7-
3(0.5%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$230
$180 - $287
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$148
$115 - $180
SGC 9 (Mint)
$115
$90 - $139
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$90
$74 - $107
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$74
$57 - $90
SGC 7 (NM)
$57
$41 - $74
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$295
Expected Value
$84 - $362
Value Range
+$121
Potential Gain
-$157
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$368
Expected Value
+$72
Expected Profit
+24%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Recommended
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$844
+$548
PSA 9
35%
$434
+$138
PSA 8
35%
$314
+$18
PSA 7
18%
$265
$-31
PSA 6
7%
$229
$-67
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better
Positive expected ROI of 24%. Grading is likely to add value, especially if the card achieves a 10 or better.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.
| Image | Serial | Source | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #111/150 | MANUAL | 1/26/2026 | — | |
| #106/150 | PSA | 1/26/2026 | View | |
| #133/150 | MANUAL | 1/26/2026 | — |