MLB
Shohei Ohtani
#1 - Los Angeles Dodgers
2024 Topps Heritage Baseball (2024)
Chrome Refractor /999Cards Remaining
Good availability
999
Total Print Run
8
Documented
991
Still Available
8 seen (0.8%)991 remaining (99.2%)
8 of 999 copies have been documented.
991 copies could still be pulled from packs!
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced
Model A: Deterministic
Print Run999
Verified Sightings8
Publicly Remaining991
Model B: Bayesian
Visibility Factor (f)28%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining716.3
Confidence Score
Low (27/100)
Coverage: 1 | Sources: 20 | Maturity: 6
$242.70
Avg Sale Price
$0.00 - $3599.99
Price Range
50
Recent Sales
eBay Price History
Last 60 days of sales data0.0%
3 sales tracked$0
Low
$243
Average
$0
High
0
Change
| Title | Price | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Topps Heritage CHROME BLUE SPARKLE REFRACTOR ~ U PICK w/ RC Complete Ur Set | $0.99 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| 2024 Topps Heritage #88 Nathaniel Lowe Hot Box Purple Chrome Refractor Card SP | $0.00 | 3/19/2026 | View |
| 2024 Topps Heritage Chrome Purple Refractor Pick a Card Complete Your Set | $1.29 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| 2025 Topps Heritage Chrome 2024 World Series Dodgers #462 Refractor | $0.00 | 3/16/2026 | View |
| 2024 Topps Heritage HOT BOX PURPLE CHROME REFRACTOR SP YOU PICK Low/ High Number | $1.49 | 3/15/2026 | View |
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,535 (74.9%)
BGS: 514 (25.1%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant
PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
1,535
Total Graded
307
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
537
PSA 9 (Mint)
20.0%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
307
20.0%
PSA 9
537
35.0%
PSA 8.5
122
7.9%
PSA 8
184
12.0%
PSA 7
153
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
110
7.2%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
514
Total Graded
4
BGS 10 (Black Label)
116
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
22.6%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
4
0.8%
BGS 10(Pristine)
12
2.3%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
116
22.6%
BGS 9(Mint)
213
41.4%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
75
14.6%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
65
12.6%
BGS 7.5-
29
5.6%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$640
$480-$960
BGS 10
$320
$240-$400
BGS 9.5
$160
$120-$200
BGS 9
$96
$80-$120
BGS 8.5
$72
$56-$88
BGS 8
$56
$40-$72
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
640
Total Graded
86
SGC 10 (Pristine)
138
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
13%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
86(13.4%)
SGC 9.5
138(21.6%)
SGC 9
224(35%)
SGC 8.5
86(13.4%)
SGC 8
74(11.6%)
SGC 7-
32(5%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$266
$209 - $333
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$171
$133 - $209
SGC 9 (Mint)
$133
$105 - $162
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$105
$86 - $124
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$86
$67 - $105
SGC 7 (NM)
$67
$48 - $86
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$297
Expected Value
$85 - $364
Value Range
+$121
Potential Gain
-$158
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$370
Expected Value
+$72
Expected Profit
+24%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Recommended
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$849
+$551
PSA 9
35%
$437
+$139
PSA 8
35%
$316
+$18
PSA 7
18%
$267
$-31
PSA 6
7%
$231
$-67
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better
Positive expected ROI of 24%. Grading is likely to add value, especially if the card achieves a 10 or better.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.