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MLB

Aaron Judge

#1 - New York Yankees

2024 Topps Stadium Club Baseball (2024)

Gold Rainbow /50

Model A: Deterministic

Print Run50
Verified Sightings6
Publicly Remaining44

Model B: Bayesian

Visibility Factor (f)29%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining34.9

Confidence Score

Medium (48/100)
Coverage: 12 | Sources: 30 | Maturity: 6

Market Sales Data

$156.47
Avg Sale Price
$121.78 - $190.21
Price Range
11
Recent Sales

Price History (Last 60 Days)

Dec 8Dec 23Dec 28Dec 30Jan 4Jan 5Jan 13Jan 14Jan 22Jan 22Jan 27$120$140$160$180$200
  • Average
  • Sale Price
TitlePriceDateLink
2024 2024 Topps Stadium Club Baseball Aaron Judge Gold Rainbow #/50$121.781/27/2026View
2024 2024 Topps Stadium Club Baseball Aaron Judge Gold Rainbow #/50$190.211/22/2026View
2024 2024 Topps Stadium Club Baseball Aaron Judge Gold Rainbow #/50$188.431/22/2026View
2024 2024 Topps Stadium Club Baseball Aaron Judge Gold Rainbow #/50$163.551/14/2026View
2024 2024 Topps Stadium Club Baseball Aaron Judge Gold Rainbow #/50$164.681/13/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 539 (50.2%)
BGS: 535 (49.8%)
Market Preference:Evenly Split

Both grading services are popular for this card. Choose based on your preference.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
539
Total Graded
129
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
210
PSA 9 (Mint)
23.9%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
129
23.9%
PSA 9
210
39.0%
PSA 8.5
43
8.0%
PSA 8
64
11.9%
PSA 7
53
9.8%
PSA 6 & Below
-3
-0.6%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
535
Total Graded
4
BGS 10 (Black Label)
142
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
26.5%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
4
0.7%
BGS 10(Pristine)
17
3.2%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
142
26.5%
BGS 9(Mint)
202
37.8%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
79
14.8%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
58
10.8%
BGS 7.5-
33
6.2%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$904
$678-$1356
BGS 10
$452
$339-$565
BGS 9.5
$226
$170-$283
BGS 9
$136
$113-$170
BGS 8.5
$102
$79-$124
BGS 8
$79
$57-$102

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
673
Total Graded
83
SGC 10 (Pristine)
147
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
12%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
83(12.3%)
SGC 9.5
147(21.8%)
SGC 9
268(39.8%)
SGC 8.5
93(13.8%)
SGC 8
74(11%)
SGC 7-
8(1.2%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$375
$295 - $469
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$241
$188 - $295
SGC 9 (Mint)
$188
$147 - $228
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$147
$121 - $174
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$121
$94 - $147
SGC 7 (NM)
$94
$67 - $121

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$192
Expected Value
$55 - $235
Value Range
+$78
Potential Gain
-$102
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$239
Expected Value
+$28
Expected Profit
+13%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Consider Carefully

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$548
+$337
PSA 9
35%
$282
+$71
PSA 8
35%
$203
$-8
PSA 7
18%
$172
$-39
PSA 6
7%
$149
$-62
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Marginal ROI of 13%. Consider grading only if you need authentication or plan to hold long-term. Break-even requires 10.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

ImageSerialSourceDateLink
#21/50PSA1/26/2026View
#49/50YOUTUBE1/26/2026View
#10/50EBAY1/26/2026View
#1/50EBAY1/26/2026View
#17/50PSA1/26/2026View
#46/50YOUTUBE1/26/2026View