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Fernando Tatis Jr. card
MLB

Fernando Tatis Jr.

#50 - San Diego Padres

2024 Topps Stadium Club Baseball (2024)

Gold Rainbow /50

Cards Remaining

Good availability

Gold Rainbow
50
Total Print Run
10
Documented
40
Still Available
10 seen (20.0%)40 remaining (80.0%)

10 of 50 copies have been documented.

40 copies could still be pulled from packs!

Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print Run50
Verified Sightings10
Publicly Remaining40

Model B: Bayesian

Visibility Factor (f)29%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining33.2

Confidence Score

Medium (56/100)
Coverage: 20 | Sources: 30 | Maturity: 6

Market Sales Data

$2500.00
Avg Sale Price
$2500.00 - $2500.00
Price Range
1
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
0.0%
1 sales tracked
May 8$2490$2495$2500$2505$2510Avg: $2500
$2500
Low
$2500
Average
$2500
High
0
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2024 Stadium Club Co-Signers JULIO RODRIGUEZ/TATIS JR Dual On-Card Auto 1/1 SSP$2500.005/8/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 539 (49.5%)
BGS: 549 (50.5%)
Market Preference:Evenly Split

Both grading services are popular for this card. Choose based on your preference.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
539
Total Graded
129
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
237
PSA 9 (Mint)
23.9%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
129
23.9%
PSA 9
237
44.0%
PSA 8.5
43
8.0%
PSA 8
64
11.9%
PSA 7
53
9.8%
PSA 6 & Below
-30
-5.6%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
549
Total Graded
3
BGS 10 (Black Label)
158
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
28.8%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
3
0.5%
BGS 10(Pristine)
15
2.7%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
158
28.8%
BGS 9(Mint)
221
40.3%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
74
13.5%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
58
10.6%
BGS 7.5-
20
3.6%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$1,080
$810-$1620
BGS 10
$540
$405-$675
BGS 9.5
$270
$203-$338
BGS 9
$162
$135-$203
BGS 8.5
$122
$95-$149
BGS 8
$95
$68-$122

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
695
Total Graded
88
SGC 10 (Pristine)
144
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
13%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
88(12.7%)
SGC 9.5
144(20.7%)
SGC 9
263(37.8%)
SGC 8.5
88(12.7%)
SGC 8
74(10.6%)
SGC 7-
38(5.5%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$448
$352 - $560
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$288
$224 - $352
SGC 9 (Mint)
$224
$176 - $272
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$176
$144 - $208
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$144
$112 - $176
SGC 7 (NM)
$112
$80 - $144

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$3063
Expected Value
$875 - $3750
Value Range
+$1250
Potential Gain
-$1625
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$75
Total Cost
$3811
Expected Value
+$1236
Expected Profit
+48%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$25
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$8750
+$6175
PSA 9
35%
$4500
+$1925
PSA 8
35%
$3250
+$675
PSA 7
18%
$2750
+$175
PSA 6
7%
$2375
$-200
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Positive expected ROI of 48%. Grading is likely to add value, especially if the card achieves a 10 or better.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

ImageSerialSourceDateLink
#20/50EBAY1/26/2026View
#33/50YOUTUBE1/26/2026View
#39/50MANUAL1/26/2026
#23/50EBAY1/26/2026View
#11/50PSA1/26/2026View
#5/50MANUAL1/26/2026
#45/50MANUAL1/26/2026
#16/50MANUAL1/26/2026
#40/50PSA1/26/2026View
#40/50YOUTUBE1/26/2026View

Community Sentiment

How community odds have shifted over time for active predictions on this card.

Will Fernando Tatis Jr. PSA 10 average sale price increase by 15%+ in the next 30 days?

Sentiment data will appear as votes come in