MLB
Juan Soto
#75 - New York Yankees
2024 Topps Chrome Baseball (2024)
Gold Refractor /50Cards Remaining
Good availability
50
Total Print Run
2
Documented
48
Still Available
2 seen (4.0%)48 remaining (96.0%)
2 of 50 copies have been documented.
48 copies could still be pulled from packs!
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced
Model A: Deterministic
Print Run50
Verified Sightings2
Publicly Remaining48
Model B: Bayesian
Visibility Factor (f)32%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining34.5
Confidence Score
Low (31/100)
Coverage: 4 | Sources: 20 | Maturity: 7
$121.00
Avg Sale Price
$0.00 - $550.00
Price Range
50
Recent Sales
eBay Price History
Last 60 days of sales data0.0%
1 sales tracked$0
Low
$121
Average
$0
High
0
Change
| Title | Price | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 MLB Topps Baseball Singles ~ Short Print, Serial #'d, SSP ~ YOU PICK w/ RC | $1.99 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| JUAN SOTO 2018-2024 Cards ⚾ U PICK 🔥 Topps Chrome Parallel Mojo Refractor ASG | $4.22 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| 2024 Topps Chrome x LIDS Mitchell & Ness Juan Soto Exclusive | $12.00 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| 2024 Topps Chrome Inserts Autos X-Refractor Pink Prism Sepia Raywave - U-PICK | $24.75 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| Juan Soto 2024 Topps Chrome Black #20 Gold Refractor 08/50 New York Yankees | $34.99 | 3/15/2026 | View |
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
PSA: 1,502 (85%)
BGS: 265 (15%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant
PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
1,502
Total Graded
255
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
630
PSA 9 (Mint)
17.0%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
255
17.0%
PSA 9
630
41.9%
PSA 8.5
120
8.0%
PSA 8
180
12.0%
PSA 7
150
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
47
3.1%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
265
Total Graded
1
BGS 10 (Black Label)
97
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
36.6%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
1
0.4%
BGS 10(Pristine)
4
1.5%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
97
36.6%
BGS 9(Mint)
94
35.5%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
37
14.0%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
27
10.2%
BGS 7.5-
5
1.9%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$896
$672-$1344
BGS 10
$448
$336-$560
BGS 9.5
$224
$168-$280
BGS 9
$134
$112-$168
BGS 8.5
$101
$78-$123
BGS 8
$78
$56-$101
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
236
Total Graded
38
SGC 10 (Pristine)
56
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
16%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
38(16.1%)
SGC 9.5
56(23.7%)
SGC 9
79(33.5%)
SGC 8.5
38(16.1%)
SGC 8
22(9.3%)
SGC 7-
3(1.3%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$339
$266 - $424
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$218
$169 - $266
SGC 9 (Mint)
$169
$133 - $206
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$133
$109 - $157
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$109
$85 - $133
SGC 7 (NM)
$85
$61 - $109
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$148
Expected Value
$42 - $182
Value Range
+$61
Potential Gain
-$79
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$184
Expected Value
+$8
Expected Profit
+5%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Consider Carefully
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$424
+$248
PSA 9
35%
$218
+$42
PSA 8
35%
$157
$-19
PSA 7
18%
$133
$-43
PSA 6
7%
$115
$-61
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better
Marginal ROI of 5%. Consider grading only if you need authentication or plan to hold long-term. Break-even requires 10.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.