SOCCER
Kylian Mbappé
#25 - Real Madrid
2024 Topps Finest UEFA Champions League (2024)
Gold Refractor /50Model A: Deterministic
Print Run50
Verified Sightings3
Publicly Remaining47
Model B: Bayesian
Visibility Factor (f)29%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining35.8
Confidence Score
Low (32/100)
Coverage: 6 | Sources: 20 | Maturity: 6
$156.11
Avg Sale Price
$107.61 - $190.41
Price Range
10
Recent Sales
Price History (Last 60 Days)
- Average
- Sale Price
| Title | Price | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 2024 Topps Finest UEFA Champions League Kylian Mbappé Gold Refractor #/50 | $172.95 | 1/20/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Finest UEFA Champions League Kylian Mbappé Gold Refractor #/50 | $176.12 | 1/19/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Finest UEFA Champions League Kylian Mbappé Gold Refractor #/50 | $184.18 | 1/10/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Finest UEFA Champions League Kylian Mbappé Gold Refractor #/50 | $181.36 | 12/28/2025 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Finest UEFA Champions League Kylian Mbappé Gold Refractor #/50 | $120.19 | 12/28/2025 | View |
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 543 (48.5%)
BGS: 577 (51.5%)
Market Preference:Evenly Split
Both grading services are popular for this card. Choose based on your preference.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
543
Total Graded
97
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
233
PSA 9 (Mint)
17.9%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
97
17.9%
PSA 9
233
42.9%
PSA 8.5
43
7.9%
PSA 8
65
12.0%
PSA 7
54
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
8
1.5%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
577
Total Graded
4
BGS 10 (Black Label)
142
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
24.6%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
4
0.7%
BGS 10(Pristine)
12
2.1%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
142
24.6%
BGS 9(Mint)
218
37.8%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
86
14.9%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
59
10.2%
BGS 7.5-
56
9.7%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$1,432
$1074-$2148
BGS 10
$716
$537-$895
BGS 9.5
$358
$269-$448
BGS 9
$215
$179-$269
BGS 8.5
$161
$125-$197
BGS 8
$125
$90-$161
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
739
Total Graded
97
SGC 10 (Pristine)
166
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
13%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
97(13.1%)
SGC 9.5
166(22.5%)
SGC 9
287(38.8%)
SGC 8.5
92(12.4%)
SGC 8
74(10%)
SGC 7-
23(3.1%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$230
$180 - $287
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$148
$115 - $180
SGC 9 (Mint)
$115
$90 - $139
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$90
$74 - $107
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$74
$57 - $90
SGC 7 (NM)
$57
$41 - $74
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$191
Expected Value
$55 - $234
Value Range
+$78
Potential Gain
-$101
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$238
Expected Value
+$27
Expected Profit
+13%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Consider Carefully
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$546
+$335
PSA 9
35%
$281
+$70
PSA 8
35%
$203
$-8
PSA 7
18%
$172
$-39
PSA 6
7%
$148
$-63
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better
Marginal ROI of 13%. Consider grading only if you need authentication or plan to hold long-term. Break-even requires 10.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.