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SOCCER

Lamine Yamal

#10 - Barcelona

2024 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA (2024)

Gold /50

Model A: Deterministic

Print Run50
Verified Sightings6
Publicly Remaining44

Model B: Bayesian

Visibility Factor (f)29%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining34.7

Confidence Score

Medium (48/100)
Coverage: 12 | Sources: 30 | Maturity: 6

Market Sales Data

$135.62
Avg Sale Price
$110.88 - $183.58
Price Range
7
Recent Sales

Price History (Last 60 Days)

Dec 4Dec 5Dec 27Jan 7Jan 7Jan 15Jan 19$100$125$150$175$200
  • Average
  • Sale Price
TitlePriceDateLink
2024 2024 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Lamine Yamal Gold #/50$123.921/19/2026View
2024 2024 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Lamine Yamal Gold #/50$150.051/15/2026View
2024 2024 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Lamine Yamal Gold #/50$110.881/7/2026View
2024 2024 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Lamine Yamal Gold #/50$183.581/7/2026View
2024 2024 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Lamine Yamal Gold #/50$117.7612/27/2025View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 548 (47.5%)
BGS: 605 (52.5%)
Market Preference:Evenly Split

Both grading services are popular for this card. Choose based on your preference.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
548
Total Graded
126
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
235
PSA 9 (Mint)
23.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
126
23.0%
PSA 9
235
42.9%
PSA 8.5
43
7.8%
PSA 8
65
11.9%
PSA 7
54
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
-18
-3.3%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
605
Total Graded
3
BGS 10 (Black Label)
126
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
20.8%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
3
0.5%
BGS 10(Pristine)
17
2.8%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
126
20.8%
BGS 9(Mint)
216
35.7%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
77
12.7%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
60
9.9%
BGS 7.5-
106
17.5%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$584
$438-$876
BGS 10
$292
$219-$365
BGS 9.5
$146
$110-$183
BGS 9
$88
$73-$110
BGS 8.5
$66
$51-$80
BGS 8
$51
$37-$66

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
194
Total Graded
34
SGC 10 (Pristine)
39
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
18%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
34(17.5%)
SGC 9.5
39(20.1%)
SGC 9
67(34.5%)
SGC 8.5
24(12.4%)
SGC 8
27(13.9%)
SGC 7-
3(1.5%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$375
$295 - $469
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$241
$188 - $295
SGC 9 (Mint)
$188
$147 - $228
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$147
$121 - $174
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$121
$94 - $147
SGC 7 (NM)
$94
$67 - $121

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$166
Expected Value
$47 - $203
Value Range
+$68
Potential Gain
-$88
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$207
Expected Value
+$16
Expected Profit
+9%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Consider Carefully

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$475
+$284
PSA 9
35%
$244
+$53
PSA 8
35%
$176
$-15
PSA 7
18%
$149
$-42
PSA 6
7%
$129
$-62
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Marginal ROI of 9%. Consider grading only if you need authentication or plan to hold long-term. Break-even requires 10.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

ImageSerialSourceDateLink
#6/50EBAY1/26/2026View
#22/50YOUTUBE1/26/2026View
#38/50MANUAL1/26/2026
#15/50EBAY1/26/2026View
#42/50YOUTUBE1/26/2026View
#22/50MANUAL1/26/2026