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Lamine Yamal card
SOCCER

Lamine Yamal

#10 - Barcelona

2024 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA (2024)

Gold /50

Cards Remaining

Good availability

Gold
50
Total Print Run
6
Documented
44
Still Available
6 seen (12.0%)44 remaining (88.0%)

6 of 50 copies have been documented.

44 copies could still be pulled from packs!

Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print Run50
Verified Sightings6
Publicly Remaining44

Model B: Bayesian

Visibility Factor (f)29%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining34.7

Confidence Score

Medium (48/100)
Coverage: 12 | Sources: 30 | Maturity: 6

Market Sales Data

$5.35
Avg Sale Price
$3.21 - $7.61
Price Range
14
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
+106.2%
14 sales tracked
Jan 16Jan 17Jan 31Feb 5Feb 5Feb 8Feb 12Feb 27Mar 1Mar 4Mar 10Mar 13Mar 13Mar 14$2.77$4.77$8.05Avg: $5
$3
Low
$5
Average
$8
High
+3
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2024 2024 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Lamine Yamal Gold PSA 10$6.623/14/2026View
2024 2024 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Lamine Yamal Gold PSA 10$7.613/13/2026View
2024 2024 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Lamine Yamal Gold PSA 9$4.433/13/2026View
2024 2024 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Lamine Yamal Gold PSA 9$4.693/10/2026View
2024 2024 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Lamine Yamal Gold PSA 10$5.723/4/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 548 (47.5%)
BGS: 605 (52.5%)
Market Preference:Evenly Split

Both grading services are popular for this card. Choose based on your preference.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
548
Total Graded
126
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
235
PSA 9 (Mint)
23.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
126
23.0%
PSA 9
235
42.9%
PSA 8.5
43
7.8%
PSA 8
65
11.9%
PSA 7
54
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
-18
-3.3%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
605
Total Graded
3
BGS 10 (Black Label)
126
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
20.8%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
3
0.5%
BGS 10(Pristine)
17
2.8%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
126
20.8%
BGS 9(Mint)
216
35.7%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
77
12.7%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
60
9.9%
BGS 7.5-
106
17.5%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$584
$438-$876
BGS 10
$292
$219-$365
BGS 9.5
$146
$110-$183
BGS 9
$88
$73-$110
BGS 8.5
$66
$51-$80
BGS 8
$51
$37-$66

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
194
Total Graded
34
SGC 10 (Pristine)
39
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
18%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
34(17.5%)
SGC 9.5
39(20.1%)
SGC 9
67(34.5%)
SGC 8.5
24(12.4%)
SGC 8
27(13.9%)
SGC 7-
3(1.5%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$375
$295 - $469
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$241
$188 - $295
SGC 9 (Mint)
$188
$147 - $228
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$147
$121 - $174
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$121
$94 - $147
SGC 7 (NM)
$94
$67 - $121

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$7
Expected Value
$2 - $8
Value Range
+$3
Potential Gain
-$3
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$8
Expected Value
$-52
Expected Profit
-87%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$19
$-41
PSA 9
35%
$10
$-50
PSA 8
35%
$7
$-53
PSA 7
18%
$6
$-54
PSA 6
7%
$5
$-55

Negative expected ROI of -87%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

ImageSerialSourceDateLink
#6/50EBAY1/26/2026View
#22/50YOUTUBE1/26/2026View
#38/50MANUAL1/26/2026
#15/50EBAY1/26/2026View
#42/50YOUTUBE1/26/2026View
#22/50MANUAL1/26/2026

Community Sentiment

How community odds have shifted over time for active predictions on this card.

Will the total graded population of Lamine Yamal exceed current count by 20% within 60 days?

Sentiment data will appear as votes come in

Will Lamine Yamal PSA 10 average sale price increase by 15%+ in the next 30 days?

Sentiment data will appear as votes come in