SOCCER
Florian Wirtz
#15 - Bayer Leverkusen
2024 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA (2024)
Gold /50Model A: Deterministic
Print Run50
Verified Sightings4
Publicly Remaining46
Model B: Bayesian
Visibility Factor (f)29%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining35.3
Confidence Score
Medium (44/100)
Coverage: 8 | Sources: 30 | Maturity: 6
$150.29
Avg Sale Price
$116.20 - $181.30
Price Range
10
Recent Sales
Price History (Last 60 Days)
- Average
- Sale Price
| Title | Price | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 2024 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Florian Wirtz Gold #/50 | $174.07 | 1/17/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Florian Wirtz Gold #/50 | $177.61 | 1/16/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Florian Wirtz Gold #/50 | $181.30 | 1/12/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Florian Wirtz Gold #/50 | $128.04 | 1/10/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Florian Wirtz Gold #/50 | $127.87 | 1/7/2026 | View |
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,548 (71.7%)
BGS: 612 (28.3%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant
PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
1,548
Total Graded
356
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
588
PSA 9 (Mint)
23.0%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
356
23.0%
PSA 9
588
38.0%
PSA 8.5
123
7.9%
PSA 8
185
12.0%
PSA 7
154
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
19
1.2%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
612
Total Graded
4
BGS 10 (Black Label)
134
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
21.9%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
4
0.7%
BGS 10(Pristine)
16
2.6%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
134
21.9%
BGS 9(Mint)
226
36.9%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
85
13.9%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
68
11.1%
BGS 7.5-
79
12.9%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$672
$504-$1008
BGS 10
$336
$252-$420
BGS 9.5
$168
$126-$210
BGS 9
$101
$84-$126
BGS 8.5
$76
$59-$92
BGS 8
$59
$42-$76
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
227
Total Graded
27
SGC 10 (Pristine)
52
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
12%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
27(11.9%)
SGC 9.5
52(22.9%)
SGC 9
81(35.7%)
SGC 8.5
37(16.3%)
SGC 8
27(11.9%)
SGC 7-
3(1.3%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$412
$323 - $515
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$265
$206 - $323
SGC 9 (Mint)
$206
$162 - $250
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$162
$132 - $191
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$132
$103 - $162
SGC 7 (NM)
$103
$74 - $132
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$184
Expected Value
$53 - $225
Value Range
+$75
Potential Gain
-$98
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$229
Expected Value
+$24
Expected Profit
+12%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Consider Carefully
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$526
+$321
PSA 9
35%
$271
+$66
PSA 8
35%
$195
$-10
PSA 7
18%
$165
$-40
PSA 6
7%
$143
$-62
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better
Marginal ROI of 12%. Consider grading only if you need authentication or plan to hold long-term. Break-even requires 10.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.