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SOCCER

Erling Haaland

#1 - Manchester City

2024 Panini Prizm Premier League (2024)

Black Prizm /1

Model A: Deterministic

Print Run1
Verified Sightings10
Publicly Remaining0
All copies have been publicly documented

Model B: Bayesian

Visibility Factor (f)31%
P(Still Unpulled)0.0%
Expected Remaining0.0

Confidence Score

High (77/100)
Coverage: 40 | Sources: 30 | Maturity: 7

Market Sales Data

$48.16
Avg Sale Price
$35.41 - $61.79
Price Range
11
Recent Sales

Price History (Last 60 Days)

Nov 30Dec 2Dec 6Dec 22Dec 23Dec 24Dec 27Jan 4Jan 9Jan 13Jan 25$35$42$49$56$63
  • Average
  • Sale Price
TitlePriceDateLink
2024 2024 Panini Prizm Premier League Erling Haaland Black Prizm #/50$35.501/25/2026View
2024 2024 Panini Prizm Premier League Erling Haaland Black Prizm #/50$35.411/13/2026View
2024 2024 Panini Prizm Premier League Erling Haaland Black Prizm #/50$61.751/9/2026View
2024 2024 Panini Prizm Premier League Erling Haaland Black Prizm #/50$36.351/4/2026View
2024 2024 Panini Prizm Premier League Erling Haaland Black Prizm #/50$61.4612/27/2025View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,554 (71.3%)
BGS: 626 (28.7%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
1,554
Total Graded
295
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
761
PSA 9 (Mint)
19.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
295
19.0%
PSA 9
761
49.0%
PSA 8.5
124
8.0%
PSA 8
186
12.0%
PSA 7
155
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
-91
-5.9%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
626
Total Graded
3
BGS 10 (Black Label)
151
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
24.1%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
3
0.5%
BGS 10(Pristine)
14
2.2%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
151
24.1%
BGS 9(Mint)
245
39.1%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
81
12.9%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
68
10.9%
BGS 7.5-
64
10.2%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$848
$636-$1272
BGS 10
$424
$318-$530
BGS 9.5
$212
$159-$265
BGS 9
$127
$106-$159
BGS 8.5
$95
$74-$117
BGS 8
$74
$53-$95

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
217
Total Graded
31
SGC 10 (Pristine)
49
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
14%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
31(14.3%)
SGC 9.5
49(22.6%)
SGC 9
76(35%)
SGC 8.5
31(14.3%)
SGC 8
27(12.4%)
SGC 7-
3(1.4%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$484
$381 - $606
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$311
$242 - $381
SGC 9 (Mint)
$242
$190 - $294
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$190
$156 - $225
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$156
$121 - $190
SGC 7 (NM)
$121
$87 - $156

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$59
Expected Value
$17 - $72
Value Range
+$24
Potential Gain
-$31
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$74
Expected Value
$-29
Expected Profit
-28%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$169
+$66
PSA 9
35%
$87
$-16
PSA 8
35%
$63
$-40
PSA 7
18%
$53
$-50
PSA 6
7%
$46
$-57
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Negative expected ROI of -28%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

ImageSerialSourceDateLink
#1/1EBAY1/26/2026View
#1/1YOUTUBE1/26/2026View
#1/1YOUTUBE1/26/2026View
#1/1EBAY1/26/2026View
#1/1YOUTUBE1/26/2026View
#1/1YOUTUBE1/26/2026View
#1/1YOUTUBE1/26/2026View
#1/1YOUTUBE1/26/2026View
#1/1EBAY1/26/2026View
#1/1MANUAL1/26/2026