MLB
Aaron Judge
#100 - New York Yankees
2024 Topps Chrome Baseball (2024)
Red Refractor /5Model A: Deterministic
Print Run5
Verified Sightings8
Publicly Remaining0
All copies have been publicly documented
Model B: Bayesian
Visibility Factor (f)32%
P(Still Unpulled)0.0%
Expected Remaining0.0
Confidence Score
High (77/100)
Coverage: 40 | Sources: 30 | Maturity: 7
$285.53
Avg Sale Price
$219.43 - $374.69
Price Range
7
Recent Sales
Price History (Last 60 Days)
- Average
- Sale Price
| Title | Price | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 2024 Topps Chrome Baseball Aaron Judge Red Refractor #/50 | $223.51 | 1/10/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Chrome Baseball Aaron Judge Red Refractor #/50 | $365.24 | 1/6/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Chrome Baseball Aaron Judge Red Refractor #/50 | $291.08 | 12/30/2025 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Chrome Baseball Aaron Judge Red Refractor #/50 | $282.40 | 12/21/2025 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Chrome Baseball Aaron Judge Red Refractor #/50 | $374.69 | 12/2/2025 | View |
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 504 (66.1%)
BGS: 259 (33.9%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant
PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
504
Total Graded
95
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
196
PSA 9 (Mint)
18.8%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
95
18.8%
PSA 9
196
38.9%
PSA 8.5
40
7.9%
PSA 8
60
11.9%
PSA 7
50
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
23
4.6%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
259
Total Graded
2
BGS 10 (Black Label)
56
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
21.6%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
2
0.8%
BGS 10(Pristine)
12
4.6%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
56
21.6%
BGS 9(Mint)
104
40.2%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
45
17.4%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
35
13.5%
BGS 7.5-
5
1.9%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$984
$738-$1476
BGS 10
$492
$369-$615
BGS 9.5
$246
$185-$308
BGS 9
$148
$123-$185
BGS 8.5
$111
$86-$135
BGS 8
$86
$62-$111
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
265
Total Graded
30
SGC 10 (Pristine)
69
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
11%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
30(11.3%)
SGC 9.5
69(26%)
SGC 9
94(35.5%)
SGC 8.5
35(13.2%)
SGC 8
34(12.8%)
SGC 7-
3(1.1%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$375
$295 - $469
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$241
$188 - $295
SGC 9 (Mint)
$188
$147 - $228
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$147
$121 - $174
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$121
$94 - $147
SGC 7 (NM)
$94
$67 - $121
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$350
Expected Value
$100 - $428
Value Range
+$143
Potential Gain
-$186
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$435
Expected Value
+$94
Expected Profit
+28%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Recommended
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$999
+$658
PSA 9
35%
$514
+$173
PSA 8
35%
$371
+$30
PSA 7
18%
$314
$-27
PSA 6
7%
$271
$-70
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better
Positive expected ROI of 28%. Grading is likely to add value, especially if the card achieves a 10 or better.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.