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Ja'Marr Chase card

Ja'Marr Chase

#2 - Cincinnati Bengals

2024 Panini Contenders Football (2024)

Base

Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$1.90
Avg Sale Price
$0.72 - $15.00
Price Range
37
Recent Sales
TitlePriceDateLink
2024 Panini Contenders Base Complete Your Set You Pick Season Ticket Card #1-100$1.253/15/2026View
2024 Panini Contenders Base Card , Pick Your Card and Complete Your Set!$1.593/15/2026View
2024 Panini Contenders Base Cards - You Pick - Complete Your Set!$0.993/15/2026View
2023 Contenders NFL Football Base You Pick Complete Your Set Pick Card$0.993/15/2026View
Build Your Set - 2024 Panini Contenders FOTL Base Set & Inserts$0.993/15/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 537 (60.2%)
BGS: 355 (39.8%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
537
Total Graded
118
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
225
PSA 9 (Mint)
22.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
118
22.0%
PSA 9
225
41.9%
PSA 8.5
42
7.8%
PSA 8
64
11.9%
PSA 7
53
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
-7
-1.3%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
355
Total Graded
2
BGS 10 (Black Label)
106
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
29.9%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
2
0.6%
BGS 10(Pristine)
9
2.5%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
106
29.9%
BGS 9(Mint)
137
38.6%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
59
16.6%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
37
10.4%
BGS 7.5-
5
1.4%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$840
$630-$1260
BGS 10
$420
$315-$525
BGS 9.5
$210
$158-$263
BGS 9
$126
$105-$158
BGS 8.5
$95
$74-$116
BGS 8
$74
$53-$95

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
371
Total Graded
58
SGC 10 (Pristine)
78
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
16%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
58(15.6%)
SGC 9.5
78(21%)
SGC 9
137(36.9%)
SGC 8.5
48(12.9%)
SGC 8
47(12.7%)
SGC 7-
3(0.8%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$448
$352 - $560
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$288
$224 - $352
SGC 9 (Mint)
$224
$176 - $272
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$176
$144 - $208
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$144
$112 - $176
SGC 7 (NM)
$112
$80 - $144

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$2
Expected Value
$1 - $3
Value Range
+$1
Potential Gain
-$1
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$3
Expected Value
$-54
Expected Profit
-95%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$7
$-50
PSA 9
35%
$3
$-54
PSA 8
35%
$2
$-55
PSA 7
18%
$2
$-55
PSA 6
7%
$2
$-55

Negative expected ROI of -95%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

Community Sentiment

How community odds have shifted over time for active predictions on this card.

Will Ja'Marr Chase PSA 10 population hit a new milestone (next 100 threshold) within 45 days?

Sentiment data will appear as votes come in

Will the total graded population of Ja'Marr Chase exceed current count by 20% within 60 days?

Sentiment data will appear as votes come in